ITF Transport Outlook 2019

image of ITF Transport Outlook 2019

The ITF Transport Outlook provides an overview of recent trends and near-term prospects for the transport sector at a global level as well as long-term prospects for transport demand to 2050. The analysis covers freight (maritime, air, surface) and passenger transport (car, rail, air) as well as CO2 emissions.

This 2019 edition of the ITF Transport Outlook specifically examines the impacts of potential disruptions to transport systems. It also reviews alternative policy scenarios for long-term trends in transport demand and CO2 emissions from all modes for both freight and passenger transport.

English Also available in: French

Disruptions in urban passenger transport

This chapter reviews the current landscape of urban passenger transport, including a number of technological and business developments that disrupt the sector in the future. It develops two main disruptive scenarios: one that portrays a future in which policy adjustments are made to manage the disruptive effects of these developments and one in which no such adjustments are made. The results indicate that disruptive developments may lead to modal shifts that increase congestion and emissions by 2050, and that targeted policies will be necessary in order to steer these developments in directions that minimise their negative externalities and maximise their co-benefits.

English Also available in: French


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