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ITF Transport Outlook 2019

image of ITF Transport Outlook 2019

The ITF Transport Outlook provides an overview of recent trends and near-term prospects for the transport sector at a global level as well as long-term prospects for transport demand to 2050. The analysis covers freight (maritime, air, surface) and passenger transport (car, rail, air) as well as CO2 emissions.



This 2019 edition of the ITF Transport Outlook specifically examines the impacts of potential disruptions to transport systems. It also reviews alternative policy scenarios for long-term trends in transport demand and CO2 emissions from all modes for both freight and passenger transport.

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Disruptions in non-urban passenger transport

This chapter assesses the impact of potential disruptions on non-urban passenger travel. Three disruptions are considered: a further expansion of low-cost aviation into long-haul services, the introduction of ultra-high-speed rail services and the large-scale availability of alternative fuels for aviation. Beyond the two scenarios outlining future pathways for transport under policies reflecting either current ambitions or high ambitions, three additional scenarios are examined. These look at the combined impacts of the potential disruptions identified for non-urban passenger transport and provide projections for the development of non-urban travel demand and its CO2 emissions to 2050.

English

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