ITF Transport Outlook 2019

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The ITF Transport Outlook provides an overview of recent trends and near-term prospects for the transport sector at a global level as well as long-term prospects for transport demand to 2050. The analysis covers freight (maritime, air, surface) and passenger transport (car, rail, air) as well as CO2 emissions.

This 2019 edition of the ITF Transport Outlook specifically examines the impacts of potential disruptions to transport systems. It also reviews alternative policy scenarios for long-term trends in transport demand and CO2 emissions from all modes for both freight and passenger transport.

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Impact of transport policies on CO2 emissions to 2050

This chapter provides projections of future transport CO2 emission based on a current ambition scenario and a high ambition scenario. The high ambition scenario reflects the extent to which known transport decarbonisation measures could mitigate the sector’s CO2 emissions. The simulations show that emissions reductions will fall short of climate objectives set out in the Paris Agreement in 2015 even in the high ambition scenario. Achieving these objectives will hinge on scaling up known strategies as well as bringing to bear innovative measures that will enable transport demand to be satisfied with minimal CO2 emissions.

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