OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.
During the preparation of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, the exact effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural markets were still largely unknown and they were therefore not incorporated in the baseline projections. Nevertheless, the Outlook aims to outline the channels of transmission of COVID-19 impacts on the various food and agriculture sectors.
Supplementary information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.
From Chapter:
Statistical annex
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 - © OECD 2020
| C.15.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| C.15.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2017-19est | 2029 | 2010-19 | 2020-29 | Average 2017-19est | 2029 | 2010-19 | 2020-29 | Average 2017-19est | 2029 | 2010-19 | 2020-29 | ||
| | WORLD | 289 771 | 318 900 | 0.90 | 0.81 | 36 158 | 42 575 | 3.28 | 1.28 | 42 017 | 48 434 | 3.28 | 1.11 |
| | NORTH AMERICA | 26 334 | 27 569 | 2.01 | 0.18 | 1 556 | 1 662 | -1.56 | 0.37 | 9 293 | 9 287 | 3.06 | 0.26 |
| | Canada | 13 143 | 13 795 | 2.25 | 0.19 | 59 | 67 | 5.10 | 0.88 | 5 620 | 5 697 | 3.39 | 0.30 |
| | United States | 13 191 | 13 775 | 1.81 | 0.17 | 1 497 | 1 594 | -1.73 | 0.35 | 3 673 | 3 589 | 2.71 | 0.19 |
| | LATIN AMERICA | 19 337 | 22 685 | -1.67 | 1.34 | 1 753 | 1 761 | -11.21 | 0.41 | 3 402 | 4 015 | -4.64 | 1.53 |
| | Argentina | 7 136 | 8 422 | -2.29 | 1.14 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 196 | 3 732 | -4.89 | 1.43 |
| | Brazil | 3 367 | 4 079 | 2.73 | 1.52 | 628 | 730 | 12.06 | 1.77 | 4 | 3 | -6.87 | 0.23 |
| | Chile | 787 | 905 | 0.59 | 1.63 | 94 | 126 | -23.30 | 1.24 | 42 | 48 | -9.31 | -1.16 |
| | Colombia | 22 | 30 | -15.69 | 2.71 | 319 | 347 | -9.10 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Mexico | 5 648 | 6 414 | -4.25 | 1.34 | 435 | 350 | -20.02 | -0.84 | 1 | 2 | 19.32 | 0.99 |
| | Paraguay | 108 | 129 | -3.35 | 1.78 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 2 | 1 | -1.11 | -3.04 |
| | Peru | 253 | 297 | -0.33 | 1.77 | 163 | 143 | 4.19 | -1.04 | 36 | 42 | 392.88 | 1.05 |
| | EUROPE | 127 861 | 136 231 | 1.09 | 0.41 | 2 368 | 2 196 | 1.27 | -1.27 | 20 049 | 24 747 | 6.47 | 1.94 |
| | European Union 1 | 78 489 | 82 796 | 0.54 | 0.08 | 1 544 | 1 587 | 5.33 | -0.04 | 8 824 | 9 981 | 2.69 | 1.19 |
| | United Kingdom | 7 691 | 7 441 | 2.88 | -0.13 | 202 | 248 | -0.12 | 0.84 | 1 043 | 969 | 3.97 | -1.62 |
| | Russia | 26 088 | 27 669 | 4.30 | 0.87 | 59 | 63 | -24.10 | 0.08 | 5 486 | 6 961 | 15.61 | 2.43 |
| | Ukraine | 9 753 | 11 598 | -0.21 | 1.57 | 17 | 17 | -12.97 | -0.10 | 4 525 | 6 411 | 8.16 | 2.75 |
| | AFRICA | 55 425 | 65 466 | 1.96 | 1.69 | 3 840 | 5 725 | 6.57 | 3.43 | 1 341 | 540 | -1.34 | -10.64 |
| | Egypt | 969 | 1 157 | -0.18 | 1.64 | 36 | 19 | -11.59 | -2.68 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Ethiopia | 13 347 | 16 483 | 4.27 | 2.26 | 0 | 0 | -77.22 | .. | 495 | 10 | 3.37 | -36.02 |
| | Nigeria | 8 114 | 9 373 | -1.13 | 1.32 | 20 | 21 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 100 | 84 | 0.00 | -1.30 |
| | South Africa | 563 | 638 | 2.01 | 1.26 | 214 | 222 | 9.28 | -0.51 | 24 | 29 | -1.15 | 0.43 |
| | ASIA | 49 059 | 53 288 | 0.07 | 0.85 | 26 531 | 31 103 | 5.56 | 1.22 | 1 771 | 2 247 | 8.33 | -1.35 |
| | China 2 | 10 076 | 11 450 | 1.88 | 1.60 | 10 106 | 11 364 | 20.03 | 0.39 | 90 | 100 | -7.28 | 2.67 |
| | India | 17 270 | 16 008 | -2.60 | -0.30 | 182 | 513 | 89.59 | 1.53 | 136 | 38 | -12.89 | -0.76 |
| | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 65 | 79 | -6.83 | 1.68 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Iran | 2 982 | 3 610 | 0.37 | 1.84 | 2 750 | 4 229 | 19.46 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Japan | 218 | 220 | 0.76 | -0.34 | 2 047 | 1 796 | -6.10 | -1.43 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Kazakhstan | 4 412 | 5 083 | 11.73 | 0.21 | 31 | 10 | -2.83 | 1.79 | 1 522 | 2 089 | 23.01 | -1.53 |
| | Korea | 107 | 104 | 3.68 | -1.23 | 114 | 122 | 2.44 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Malaysia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 14 | 15 | 291.09 | 2.01 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Pakistan | 514 | 620 | -0.10 | 1.67 | 134 | 162 | 33.86 | 2.68 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Philippines | 1 | 0 | 8.39 | .. | 39 | 52 | 0.45 | 2.21 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Saudi Arabia | 210 | 231 | 6.39 | 1.38 | 7 426 | 8 933 | -0.26 | 2.13 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Thailand | 171 | 220 | 0.37 | 2.45 | 24 | 4 | 0.00 | -16.92 | 2 | 3 | -0.16 | 3.55 |
| | Turkey | 7 951 | 9 404 | -0.18 | 1.52 | 466 | 712 | 18.35 | 4.53 | 14 | 10 | -8.96 | -0.68 |
| | Viet Nam | 3 | 4 | 9.67 | 1.69 | 100 | 113 | 6.04 | 1.23 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | OCEANIA | 11 753 | 13 659 | 0.41 | 1.09 | 110 | 128 | 4.83 | 2.38 | 6 160 | 7 599 | 1.53 | 1.75 |
| | Australia | 11 366 | 13 206 | 0.47 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 6 160 | 7 599 | 1.53 | 1.75 |
| | New Zealand | 384 | 448 | -1.26 | 0.79 | 25 | 23 | 20.91 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 173 257 | 186 004 | 1.42 | 0.44 | 6 763 | 6 485 | -2.17 | -0.70 | 37 050 | 43 751 | 4.87 | 1.34 |
| | DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 116 514 | 132 895 | 0.18 | 1.35 | 29 395 | 36 091 | 4.98 | 1.68 | 4 967 | 4 683 | -4.48 | -0.80 |
| | LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 26 588 | 31 475 | 2.62 | 1.56 | 662 | 1 313 | 1.63 | 8.70 | 702 | 400 | -3.87 | -7.87 |
| | OECD 3 | 140 098 | 149 586 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 7 444 | 7 759 | -5.23 | 0.18 | 25 379 | 27 897 | 2.46 | 0.90 |
| | BRICS | 57 364 | 59 844 | 1.18 | 0.72 | 11 189 | 12 892 | 17.10 | 0.49 | 5 739 | 7 130 | 12.15 | 2.40 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
| Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2017-19est: Data for 2019 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
| Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States (excludes the United Kingdom) | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2020), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||