1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.23.2 - Cheese projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.23.2Cheese projections: Consumption, food
A.23.2Cheese projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
22 273
 
26 049
 
1.58
 
1.35
 
3.0
 
3.1
 
0.38
 
0.36
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
16 964
 
19 555
 
1.09
 
1.17
 
12.0
 
13.4
 
0.66
 
0.91
 
NORTH AMERICA
5 617
 
6 873
 
1.81
 
1.74
 
15.7
 
17.8
 
0.98
 
1.03
 
Canada
431
 
546
 
1.65
 
1.78
 
12.0
 
13.9
 
0.58
 
0.97
 
United States
5 187
 
6 327
 
1.82
 
1.74
 
16.1
 
18.2
 
1.02
 
1.04
 
EUROPE
10 388
 
11 607
 
0.66
 
0.86
 
13.7
 
15.4
 
0.53
 
0.88
 
European Union
9 129
 
10 146
 
0.71
 
0.77
 
18.1
 
19.9
 
0.54
 
0.71
 
Russia
774
 
931
 
1.32
 
1.87
 
5.4
 
6.6
 
1.29
 
2.08
 
Ukraine
131
 
144
 
-5.21
 
0.98
 
2.9
 
3.4
 
-4.84
 
1.58
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
305
 
345
 
1.06
 
0.99
 
10.7
 
10.7
 
-0.45
 
-0.13
 
Australia
266
 
300
 
1.16
 
0.94
 
11.1
 
11.0
 
-0.48
 
-0.23
 
New Zealand
39
 
45
 
0.46
 
1.31
 
8.6
 
9.0
 
-0.33
 
0.48
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
653
 
730
 
2.06
 
1.02
 
2.4
 
2.6
 
1.41
 
0.68
 
Japan
292
 
312
 
2.65
 
0.31
 
2.3
 
2.6
 
2.73
 
0.64
 
Kazakhstan
38
 
38
 
-0.64
 
1.66
 
2.2
 
2.0
 
-2.07
 
0.76
 
South Africa
47
 
49
 
0.13
 
0.76
 
0.9
 
0.8
 
-0.99
 
0.11
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
5 309
 
6 494
 
3.29
 
1.92
 
0.9
 
1.0
 
1.88
 
0.76
 
AFRICA
961
 
1 198
 
1.09
 
2.30
 
0.8
 
0.8
 
-1.52
 
-0.14
 
NORTH AFRICA
672
 
832
 
0.92
 
2.16
 
3.7
 
3.9
 
-0.85
 
0.73
 
Algeria
31
 
38
 
5.42
 
2.07
 
0.8
 
0.8
 
3.48
 
0.70
 
Egypt
578
 
720
 
0.77
 
2.21
 
6.3
 
6.5
 
-1.32
 
0.53
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
288
 
365
 
1.63
 
2.61
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-1.16
 
-0.01
 
Ethiopia
6
 
8
 
0.38
 
2.49
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-2.16
 
0.22
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
-13.66
 
2.02
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-15.73
 
0.00
 
Mozambique
1
 
1
 
8.12
 
2.66
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
5.14
 
0.00
 
Nigeria
11
 
14
 
-2.76
 
3.01
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
-5.32
 
0.51
 
Tanzania
13
 
17
 
3.03
 
2.41
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-0.18
 
-0.56
 
Zambia
2
 
3
 
8.69
 
4.14
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
5.45
 
1.08
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
2 561
 
2 988
 
3.65
 
1.53
 
4.0
 
4.3
 
2.47
 
0.64
 
Argentina
510
 
575
 
1.73
 
1.83
 
11.7
 
12.0
 
0.69
 
0.95
 
Brazil
771
 
930
 
3.59
 
1.72
 
3.7
 
4.1
 
2.63
 
1.05
 
Chile
114
 
139
 
9.84
 
1.48
 
6.4
 
7.0
 
8.66
 
0.61
 
Colombia
61
 
75
 
1.54
 
1.98
 
1.3
 
1.4
 
0.51
 
1.29
 
Mexico
471
 
569
 
5.65
 
1.40
 
3.7
 
4.0
 
4.16
 
0.34
 
Paraguay
2
 
2
 
18.96
 
1.15
 
0.3
 
0.2
 
17.39
 
0.00
 
Peru
27
 
34
 
4.42
 
1.97
 
0.9
 
1.0
 
3.07
 
0.85
 
Uruguay
61
 
69
 
8.49
 
0.84
 
17.9
 
19.5
 
8.12
 
0.51
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
1 788
 
2 308
 
4.11
 
2.25
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
2.98
 
1.42
 
Bangladesh
1
 
2
 
0.30
 
2.93
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-0.88
 
1.88
 
China 2
337
 
515
 
2.37
 
2.94
 
0.2
 
0.4
 
1.84
 
2.72
 
India
0
 
0
 
-73.01
 
4.46
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-73.35
 
3.37
 
Indonesia
20
 
25
 
7.21
 
2.47
 
0.1
 
0.1
 
5.84
 
1.51
 
Iran
252
 
277
 
-0.74
 
0.96
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
-1.95
 
0.16
 
Korea
130
 
191
 
8.15
 
3.40
 
2.6
 
3.7
 
7.59
 
3.09
 
Malaysia
20
 
26
 
12.01
 
1.75
 
0.7
 
0.8
 
10.28
 
0.54
 
Pakistan
2
 
2
 
2.64
 
2.44
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.51
 
0.64
 
Philippines
26
 
44
 
9.53
 
3.48
 
0.3
 
0.4
 
7.84
 
2.05
 
Saudi Arabia
217
 
263
 
27.02
 
2.32
 
6.9
 
7.0
 
24.07
 
0.84
 
Thailand
16
 
21
 
7.98
 
1.96
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
7.64
 
1.91
 
Turkey
164
 
199
 
2.77
 
1.60
 
2.1
 
2.3
 
1.17
 
0.93
 
Viet Nam
4
 
5
 
-0.03
 
3.45
 
0.0
 
0.1
 
-1.11
 
2.60
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
421
 
558
 
2.42
 
3.01
 
0.4
 
0.5
 
0.02
 
0.76
 
OECD 3
16 593
 
19 192
 
1.35
 
1.17
 
12.4
 
13.8
 
0.75
 
0.77
 
BRICS
1 929
 
2 424
 
2.26
 
2.01
 
0.6
 
0.7
 
1.38
 
1.40
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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