1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.17.1 - Beef and veal projections: Production and trade

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.17.1Beef and veal projections: Production and trade
A.17.1Beef and veal projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt cwe) 4
Growth (%) 5
IMPORTS (kt cwe) 6
Growth (%) 5
EXPORTS (kt cwe) 6
Growth (%) 5
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
68 471
 
76 341
 
0.54
 
0.98
 
8 847
 
10 581
 
3.44
 
1.58
 
9 220
 
10 559
 
3.09
 
1.67
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
29 428
 
31 045
 
-0.36
 
0.35
 
3 594
 
3 746
 
-0.48
 
1.00
 
4 364
 
4 516
 
3.50
 
0.65
 
NORTH AMERICA
12 073
 
13 724
 
-1.20
 
0.59
 
1 610
 
1 598
 
1.24
 
1.13
 
1 506
 
1 805
 
2.54
 
1.18
 
Canada
1 338
 
1 481
 
-3.24
 
0.73
 
201
 
243
 
0.10
 
0.66
 
393
 
475
 
-2.83
 
1.36
 
United States
10 735
 
12 243
 
-0.93
 
0.57
 
1 410
 
1 355
 
1.39
 
1.22
 
1 112
 
1 331
 
5.08
 
1.12
 
EUROPE
10 564
 
10 268
 
-0.76
 
-0.28
 
1 022
 
1 028
 
-3.81
 
0.47
 
413
 
335
 
10.19
 
-2.05
 
European Union
7 902
 
7 571
 
-0.58
 
-0.61
 
306
 
315
 
-3.05
 
0.11
 
213
 
179
 
24.04
 
-2.11
 
Russia
1 602
 
1 698
 
-1.13
 
1.28
 
604
 
550
 
-4.84
 
-0.16
 
45
 
44
 
3.77
 
0.00
 
Ukraine
394
 
374
 
-3.21
 
0.22
 
2
 
25
 
-25.60
 
34.75
 
23
 
1
 
-0.06
 
-20.87
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
3 540
 
3 566
 
1.92
 
0.84
 
27
 
24
 
8.52
 
0.00
 
2 376
 
2 335
 
2.94
 
0.74
 
Australia
2 871
 
2 957
 
2.23
 
1.21
 
13
 
14
 
6.35
 
0.00
 
1 790
 
1 811
 
3.36
 
1.27
 
New Zealand
670
 
608
 
0.67
 
-0.78
 
13
 
10
 
11.25
 
0.00
 
586
 
524
 
1.72
 
-0.92
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
3 251
 
3 487
 
2.26
 
0.83
 
935
 
1 096
 
0.65
 
1.36
 
69
 
40
 
27.54
 
-2.28
 
Japan
483
 
452
 
-0.95
 
-0.24
 
721
 
747
 
1.00
 
0.22
 
2
 
3
 
19.05
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
411
 
436
 
0.47
 
0.64
 
21
 
69
 
-9.16
 
11.67
 
1
 
0
 
108.33
 
-2.63
 
South Africa
963
 
980
 
3.02
 
0.39
 
26
 
36
 
6.67
 
2.72
 
62
 
34
 
33.75
 
-2.64
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
39 043
 
45 297
 
1.26
 
1.43
 
5 253
 
6 836
 
6.98
 
1.92
 
4 856
 
6 043
 
2.76
 
2.51
 
AFRICA
5 300
 
6 362
 
1.67
 
2.11
 
721
 
1 097
 
2.85
 
3.30
 
33
 
29
 
-6.51
 
-1.39
 
NORTH AFRICA
1 284
 
1 461
 
2.32
 
1.41
 
460
 
692
 
4.24
 
2.57
 
7
 
10
 
84.68
 
-0.27
 
Algeria
118
 
125
 
9.10
 
0.89
 
84
 
129
 
1.90
 
4.31
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.30
 
Egypt
840
 
922
 
1.02
 
1.15
 
333
 
492
 
5.49
 
1.87
 
7
 
10
 
99.67
 
-0.27
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
4 016
 
4 901
 
1.48
 
2.33
 
262
 
405
 
0.58
 
4.69
 
26
 
19
 
-9.36
 
-1.91
 
Ethiopia
381
 
514
 
-0.05
 
4.03
 
0
 
0
 
70.17
 
74.94
 
0
 
0
 
-10.68
 
-53.03
 
Ghana
21
 
23
 
-0.04
 
1.01
 
9
 
11
 
-8.58
 
-0.49
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.03
 
Mozambique
26
 
34
 
4.35
 
2.49
 
6
 
21
 
24.78
 
12.20
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.18
 
Nigeria
366
 
426
 
5.16
 
1.69
 
3
 
4
 
190.76
 
1.19
 
1
 
1
 
287.68
 
-1.00
 
Tanzania
310
 
433
 
1.53
 
3.12
 
2
 
11
 
74.26
 
15.39
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-13.20
 
Zambia
209
 
300
 
14.32
 
3.55
 
1
 
9
 
209.31
 
29.63
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-26.59
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
18 057
 
20 403
 
0.28
 
1.09
 
707
 
905
 
-2.18
 
1.77
 
2 818
 
3 872
 
-1.56
 
3.12
 
Argentina
2 680
 
3 264
 
-2.21
 
1.46
 
7
 
7
 
6.96
 
0.00
 
213
 
693
 
-11.60
 
11.84
 
Brazil
9 519
 
10 855
 
0.62
 
1.15
 
42
 
46
 
13.95
 
-1.01
 
1 549
 
2 178
 
-2.22
 
3.65
 
Chile
232
 
202
 
-0.43
 
0.10
 
237
 
333
 
8.05
 
1.66
 
9
 
9
 
-5.93
 
-1.28
 
Colombia
856
 
863
 
-0.02
 
0.32
 
4
 
7
 
10.73
 
6.07
 
14
 
0
 
-18.53
 
-33.33
 
Mexico
1 846
 
2 161
 
1.48
 
1.45
 
163
 
187
 
-6.28
 
0.67
 
161
 
200
 
26.61
 
-0.21
 
Paraguay
593
 
678
 
4.52
 
1.04
 
3
 
3
 
16.14
 
-0.10
 
366
 
380
 
8.63
 
0.13
 
Peru
204
 
228
 
3.19
 
1.04
 
6
 
25
 
0.12
 
9.87
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.58
 
Uruguay
590
 
554
 
1.39
 
-1.31
 
4
 
4
 
67.26
 
-0.66
 
329
 
287
 
-0.23
 
-3.03
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
15 686
 
18 532
 
2.34
 
1.58
 
3 825
 
4 834
 
11.03
 
1.66
 
2 004
 
2 142
 
14.09
 
1.54
 
Bangladesh
202
 
208
 
0.71
 
0.66
 
1
 
2
 
95.59
 
1.73
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-4.12
 
China 2
7 005
 
8 706
 
1.71
 
1.91
 
569
 
865
 
81.92
 
1.44
 
37
 
42
 
-8.06
 
2.76
 
India
2 627
 
3 042
 
0.97
 
1.54
 
0
 
0
 
-80.72
 
0.16
 
1 755
 
1 930
 
15.49
 
1.80
 
Indonesia
523
 
630
 
9.16
 
2.02
 
81
 
155
 
1.37
 
5.71
 
0
 
0
 
-74.21
 
-0.39
 
Iran
252
 
226
 
-2.26
 
-0.92
 
119
 
193
 
-1.31
 
3.23
 
4
 
4
 
103.14
 
-0.82
 
Korea
322
 
319
 
4.28
 
0.30
 
385
 
485
 
3.53
 
0.99
 
7
 
4
 
19.03
 
-4.81
 
Malaysia
17
 
15
 
1.67
 
-2.21
 
211
 
267
 
5.74
 
1.93
 
14
 
11
 
12.78
 
-1.89
 
Pakistan
1 731
 
2 115
 
3.18
 
1.79
 
4
 
18
 
-0.70
 
16.22
 
32
 
2
 
11.70
 
-23.61
 
Philippines
292
 
261
 
0.89
 
-1.20
 
135
 
226
 
-1.10
 
5.14
 
3
 
1
 
-3.66
 
-0.78
 
Saudi Arabia
55
 
99
 
14.33
 
6.77
 
152
 
138
 
3.87
 
-1.24
 
29
 
32
 
171.81
 
1.25
 
Thailand
238
 
224
 
0.00
 
-0.20
 
24
 
23
 
22.96
 
1.33
 
43
 
32
 
27.47
 
-1.31
 
Turkey
916
 
1 059
 
12.55
 
1.35
 
9
 
7
 
1 293.64
 
0.60
 
16
 
13
 
27.93
 
3.03
 
Viet Nam
340
 
342
 
0.14
 
0.54
 
953
 
1 197
 
29.92
 
1.59
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.11
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
3 925
 
4 763
 
1.73
 
2.24
 
183
 
339
 
0.49
 
6.41
 
2
 
1
 
1.26
 
-7.63
 
OECD 3
27 605
 
29 350
 
-0.12
 
0.36
 
3 611
 
3 904
 
0.95
 
0.94
 
4 292
 
4 551
 
3.80
 
0.74
 
BRICS
21 715
 
25 281
 
0.96
 
1.43
 
1 242
 
1 497
 
5.43
 
0.77
 
3 449
 
4 229
 
4.21
 
2.65
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Gross indigenous production.
5.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
6.
Excludes trade of live animals.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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