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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

Confronting the Crisis

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

Italy

Real GDP growth is projected at 3.7% in 2022, slowing to 0.2% in 2023, before picking up moderately to 1% in 2024. High energy prices will act as a brake on production in energy-intensive industries, while falling real incomes due to high inflation, increasing interest rates and subdued export market growth will moderate demand growth. Unemployment will rise and labour market participation decline, with employment shrinking in 2023. Consumer price inflation is expected to come down only gradually from about 10% at the end of 2022, as energy price caps are phased out in 2023 and recent increases in energy and food prices are triggering wider price pressures.

English Also available in: French

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