1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.

During the preparation of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, the exact effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural markets were still largely unknown and they were therefore not incorporated in the baseline projections. Nevertheless, the Outlook aims to outline the channels of transmission of COVID-19 impacts on the various food and agriculture sectors.

Supplementary information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

English Also available in: Spanish, French, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical annex

Table C.12.2 - World trade projections, exports

English Also available in: French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 - © OECD 2020

‌C.12.2World trade projections, exports
C.12.2World trade projections, exports
  
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
2028
‌2029‌
Wheat
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
90 707
 
99 713
 
101 095
 
102 071
 
103 329
 
104 388
 
105 451
 
106 513
 
107 577
 
108 700
 
109 832
 
Developing countries
kt
23 983
 
24 518
 
24 571
 
24 578
 
24 808
 
25 241
 
25 541
 
25 842
 
26 146
 
26 523
 
26 888
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
111
 
105
 
104
 
102
 
100
 
98
 
96
 
95
 
93
 
91
 
90
 
Maize
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
60 812
 
59 240
 
60 875
 
62 049
 
63 263
 
64 354
 
65 187
 
66 052
 
66 933
 
67 819
 
68 809
 
Developing countries
kt
66 125
 
68 140
 
69 917
 
71 493
 
73 300
 
74 798
 
76 269
 
77 699
 
79 141
 
80 610
 
82 105
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
3 169
 
3 336
 
3 420
 
3 454
 
3 428
 
3 351
 
3 287
 
3 236
 
3 190
 
3 153
 
3 122
 
Other coarse grains
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
25 379
 
25 920
 
26 019
 
25 970
 
26 292
 
26 633
 
26 857
 
27 232
 
27 448
 
27 652
 
27 897
 
Developing countries
kt
4 967
 
4 910
 
4 964
 
4 922
 
4 795
 
4 714
 
4 667
 
4 622
 
4 623
 
4 649
 
4 683
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
702
 
717
 
758
 
773
 
697
 
628
 
559
 
484
 
439
 
415
 
400
 
Rice
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
3 977
 
4 168
 
4 234
 
4 275
 
4 301
 
4 348
 
4 367
 
4 405
 
4 463
 
4 506
 
4 563
 
Developing countries
kt
43 136
 
44 664
 
46 135
 
47 152
 
48 332
 
49 766
 
51 275
 
52 683
 
54 186
 
55 715
 
57 309
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
4 607
 
4 536
 
4 976
 
5 412
 
5 927
 
6 169
 
6 436
 
6 704
 
6 990
 
7 311
 
7 639
 
Soybean
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
55 661
 
52 011
 
57 047
 
57 776
 
58 484
 
59 166
 
59 570
 
60 232
 
60 990
 
61 775
 
62 599
 
Developing countries
kt
88 581
 
93 721
 
94 924
 
96 382
 
97 803
 
99 142
 
100 485
 
101 978
 
103 277
 
104 516
 
105 701
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
31
 
21
 
20
 
19
 
19
 
19
 
19
 
18
 
18
 
18
 
18
 
Other oilseeds
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
13 546
 
13 800
 
14 103
 
14 142
 
14 406
 
14 669
 
14 866
 
15 045
 
15 252
 
15 457
 
15 662
 
Developing countries
kt
2 754
 
2 540
 
2 499
 
2 540
 
2 555
 
2 587
 
2 626
 
2 668
 
2 709
 
2 752
 
2 799
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
148
 
170
 
155
 
150
 
143
 
141
 
141
 
138
 
136
 
132
 
129
 
Protein meals
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
19 807
 
19 306
 
19 050
 
19 000
 
18 929
 
18 873
 
18 804
 
18 734
 
18 645
 
18 565
 
18 474
 
Developing countries
kt
63 513
 
64 689
 
65 058
 
65 646
 
66 349
 
67 000
 
67 615
 
68 328
 
68 985
 
69 636
 
70 266
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
350
 
379
 
372
 
371
 
364
 
358
 
353
 
348
 
346
 
343
 
340
 
Vegetable oils
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
8 854
 
8 500
 
8 621
 
8 678
 
8 804
 
8 876
 
8 945
 
9 015
 
9 074
 
9 133
 
9 192
 
Developing countries
kt
67 872
 
70 323
 
71 160
 
71 945
 
72 952
 
73 846
 
74 807
 
75 707
 
76 637
 
77 622
 
78 621
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
479
 
467
 
453
 
439
 
425
 
411
 
399
 
387
 
376
 
365
 
355
 
Sugar
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
9 347
 
8 512
 
8 680
 
8 663
 
8 764
 
9 013
 
9 210
 
9 388
 
9 581
 
9 695
 
9 789
 
Developing countries
kt
50 568
 
52 804
 
54 808
 
55 601
 
55 855
 
56 367
 
56 959
 
57 528
 
58 177
 
59 068
 
60 009
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
2 291
 
1 527
 
1 301
 
1 191
 
1 035
 
940
 
826
 
721
 
658
 
615
 
579
 
Beef 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
5 096
 
5 131
 
5 160
 
5 177
 
5 211
 
5 241
 
5 321
 
5 413
 
5 498
 
5 571
 
5 644
 
Developing countries
kt
4 995
 
5 546
 
5 587
 
5 633
 
5 629
 
5 643
 
5 638
 
5 676
 
5 711
 
5 754
 
5 801
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
11
 
11
 
11
 
10
 
10
 
10
 
10
 
10
 
9
 
9
 
9
 
Pigmeat 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
8 437
 
9 478
 
8 916
 
8 656
 
8 613
 
8 583
 
8 570
 
8 553
 
8 601
 
8 625
 
8 680
 
Developing countries
kt
1 123
 
1 296
 
1 303
 
1 312
 
1 311
 
1 307
 
1 297
 
1 286
 
1 271
 
1 261
 
1 250
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
Poultry meat
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
7 067
 
7 393
 
7 399
 
7 402
 
7 426
 
7 455
 
7 497
 
7 579
 
7 661
 
7 751
 
7 845
 
Developing countries
kt
7 319
 
7 687
 
7 761
 
7 858
 
7 950
 
8 069
 
8 189
 
8 330
 
8 483
 
8 635
 
8 786
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
23
 
26
 
25
 
25
 
24
 
24
 
23
 
23
 
23
 
22
 
22
 
Sheep meat 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
1 114
 
1 126
 
1 140
 
1 156
 
1 168
 
1 174
 
1 178
 
1 181
 
1 187
 
1 194
 
1 200
 
Developing countries
kt
78
 
69
 
66
 
62
 
60
 
59
 
59
 
58
 
58
 
58
 
58
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
3
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
Butter
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
831
 
843
 
863
 
882
 
899
 
915
 
930
 
945
 
959
 
973
 
986
 
Developing countries
kt
106
 
117
 
114
 
107
 
101
 
96
 
92
 
88
 
86
 
84
 
83
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
2
 
1
 
1
 
Cheese
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
2 466
 
2 523
 
2 577
 
2 632
 
2 679
 
2 729
 
2 779
 
2 827
 
2 874
 
2 921
 
2 968
 
Developing countries
kt
518
 
500
 
495
 
494
 
496
 
495
 
494
 
494
 
494
 
494
 
495
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
Whole milk powder
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
1 872
 
1 921
 
1 940
 
1 947
 
1 967
 
1 989
 
2 012
 
2 036
 
2 061
 
2 085
 
2 110
 
Developing countries
kt
664
 
732
 
740
 
748
 
752
 
757
 
761
 
766
 
770
 
775
 
779
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
8
 
7
 
7
 
7
 
7
 
7
 
7
 
6
 
6
 
6
 
6
 
Skim milk powder
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
2 382
 
2 400
 
2 435
 
2 498
 
2 551
 
2 608
 
2 668
 
2 728
 
2 789
 
2 851
 
2 914
 
Developing countries
kt
288
 
308
 
309
 
307
 
306
 
305
 
303
 
302
 
301
 
301
 
300
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
5
 
4
 
4
 
4
 
4
 
4
 
4
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
Fish 3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD
kt
13 189
 
13 486
 
13 449
 
13 549
 
13 677
 
13 798
 
13 858
 
13 845
 
14 037
 
14 141
 
14 224
 
Developing countries
kt
27 725
 
27 390
 
27 543
 
28 142
 
28 480
 
28 916
 
29 258
 
29 517
 
30 024
 
30 386
 
30 803
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
1 889
 
1 934
 
1 950
 
1 933
 
1 923
 
1 918
 
1 911
 
1 910
 
1 894
 
1 884
 
1 888
 
Fishmeal 4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD
kt
816
 
892
 
829
 
839
 
848
 
865
 
885
 
881
 
895
 
914
 
918
 
Developing countries
kt
2 273
 
2 233
 
2 114
 
2 212
 
2 209
 
2 300
 
2 307
 
2 194
 
2 335
 
2 341
 
2 404
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
172
 
163
 
167
 
170
 
172
 
174
 
178
 
182
 
184
 
186
 
187
 
Fish oil 4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD
kt
462
 
520
 
513
 
507
 
518
 
514
 
526
 
536
 
529
 
542
 
544
 
Developing countries
kt
457
 
458
 
452
 
483
 
499
 
505
 
513
 
500
 
529
 
552
 
555
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
40
 
41
 
42
 
42
 
43
 
43
 
43
 
44
 
44
 
45
 
45
 
Ethanol
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
7 034
 
6 729
 
6 574
 
6 446
 
6 282
 
6 160
 
6 048
 
5 936
 
5 851
 
5 769
 
5 694
 
Developing countries
kt
3 306
 
3 526
 
3 563
 
3 592
 
3 604
 
3 619
 
3 630
 
3 636
 
3 644
 
3 645
 
3 642
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
1
 
Biodiesel
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
2 626
 
2 721
 
2 531
 
2 450
 
2 272
 
2 112
 
1 971
 
1 845
 
1 734
 
1 641
 
1 555
 
Developing countries
kt
3 530
 
3 349
 
3 342
 
3 305
 
3 236
 
3 176
 
3 127
 
3 078
 
3 019
 
2 960
 
2 872
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
0
 
Cotton
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
4 650
 
4 363
 
4 498
 
4 627
 
4 779
 
4 853
 
4 952
 
5 015
 
5 099
 
5 180
 
5 277
 
Developing countries
kt
4 200
 
4 667
 
4 855
 
5 075
 
5 204
 
5 302
 
5 424
 
5 528
 
5 664
 
5 808
 
5 951
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
1 120
 
1 264
 
1 306
 
1 350
 
1 395
 
1 441
 
1 490
 
1 541
 
1 593
 
1 646
 
1 699
 
Roots and tubers
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
OECD 1
kt
1 710
 
1 741
 
1 726
 
1 743
 
1 756
 
1 787
 
1 813
 
1 831
 
1 861
 
1 880
 
1 916
 
Developing countries
kt
11 469
 
11 786
 
12 241
 
12 493
 
12 828
 
13 135
 
13 464
 
13 799
 
14 156
 
14 524
 
14 917
 
Least Developed Countries
kt
134
 
144
 
141
 
141
 
136
 
132
 
126
 
120
 
114
 
108
 
103
 
Note: Average 2017-19est: Data for 2019 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries.
2.
Excludes trade of live animals.
3.
Data are in live weight equivalent and refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption.
4.
Data are in product weight.
Source: OECD/FAO (2020), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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