1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, incorporating expertise from collaborating member countries and international commodity organisations. It provides market projections for national, regional and global supply and demand of major agricultural commodities, biofuel and fish.

During the preparation of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029, the exact effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural markets were still largely unknown and they were therefore not incorporated in the baseline projections. Nevertheless, the Outlook aims to outline the channels of transmission of COVID-19 impacts on the various food and agriculture sectors.

Supplementary information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

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From Chapter: Statistical annex
.

Table C.7 - World fish and seafood projections

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2020-2029 - © OECD 2020

‌C.7World fish and seafood projections
C.7World fish and seafood projections
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2017-19est
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
2028
‌2029‌
FISH 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
175 798
 
179 002
 
178 372
 
182 285
 
185 418
 
188 113
 
190 563
 
191 516
 
195 448
 
197 962
 
200 400
 
of which aquaculture
kt
81 910
 
85 964
 
87 691
 
89 955
 
92 343
 
94 655
 
96 860
 
99 037
 
101 007
 
103 078
 
105 205
 
Consumption
kt
176 248
 
180 497
 
179 717
 
183 480
 
186 463
 
189 008
 
191 308
 
192 111
 
195 893
 
198 257
 
200 545
 
of which for food
kt
155 109
 
160 016
 
160 492
 
163 355
 
166 389
 
168 930
 
171 289
 
173 106
 
175 756
 
178 119
 
180 416
 
of which for reduction
kt
16 902
 
16 404
 
15 220
 
16 201
 
16 222
 
16 297
 
16 310
 
15 367
 
16 571
 
16 643
 
16 686
 
Price
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Aquaculture 2
USD/t
3 022.3
 
3 041.0
 
3 194.8
 
3 328.8
 
3 420.7
 
3 567.4
 
3 634.4
 
3 684.9
 
3 629.6
 
3 660.5
 
3 708.5
 
Capture 3
USD/t
1 831.0
 
1 917.0
 
1 978.3
 
2 036.3
 
2 078.4
 
2 149.9
 
2 188.4
 
2 238.8
 
2 214.9
 
2 231.2
 
2 247.2
 
Product traded 4
USD/t
3 032.7
 
3 135.0
 
3 260.0
 
3 396.7
 
3 490.6
 
3 603.4
 
3 634.4
 
3 684.9
 
3 629.6
 
3 660.5
 
3 690.1
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
30 101
 
30 262
 
30 245
 
30 423
 
30 741
 
30 889
 
30 978
 
31 121
 
31 249
 
31 349
 
31 410
 
of which aquaculture
kt
4 694
 
4 870
 
4 954
 
5 049
 
5 164
 
5 280
 
5 324
 
5 421
 
5 505
 
5 569
 
5 597
 
Consumption
kt
37 859
 
37 858
 
37 713
 
38 042
 
38 279
 
38 416
 
38 438
 
38 557
 
38 665
 
38 853
 
39 024
 
of which for food
kt
31 724
 
32 064
 
31 924
 
32 267
 
32 497
 
32 645
 
32 665
 
32 770
 
32 888
 
33 085
 
33 264
 
of which for reduction
kt
4 928
 
4 651
 
4 648
 
4 636
 
4 646
 
4 636
 
4 640
 
4 656
 
4 648
 
4 641
 
4 635
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
145 697
 
148 740
 
148 128
 
151 861
 
154 677
 
157 224
 
159 585
 
160 395
 
164 199
 
166 612
 
168 990
 
of which aquaculture
kt
77 216
 
81 094
 
82 737
 
84 907
 
87 179
 
89 375
 
91 536
 
93 616
 
95 502
 
97 509
 
99 608
 
Consumption
kt
138 389
 
142 638
 
142 004
 
145 437
 
148 184
 
150 592
 
152 870
 
153 554
 
157 228
 
159 403
 
161 521
 
of which for food
kt
123 385
 
127 952
 
128 568
 
131 088
 
133 893
 
136 285
 
138 624
 
140 337
 
142 868
 
145 034
 
147 152
 
of which for reduction
kt
11 974
 
11 753
 
10 572
 
11 565
 
11 576
 
11 661
 
11 670
 
10 711
 
11 923
 
12 002
 
12 051
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
29 473
 
29 684
 
29 302
 
29 568
 
29 905
 
30 075
 
30 171
 
29 925
 
30 335
 
30 587
 
30 714
 
of which aquaculture
kt
6 756
 
7 051
 
7 163
 
7 280
 
7 422
 
7 563
 
7 627
 
7 755
 
7 882
 
7 988
 
8 073
 
Consumption
kt
39 434
 
39 253
 
38 890
 
39 329
 
39 584
 
39 740
 
39 772
 
39 668
 
39 945
 
40 180
 
40 372
 
of which for food
kt
32 811
 
32 962
 
32 814
 
33 203
 
33 460
 
33 612
 
33 637
 
33 716
 
33 861
 
34 083
 
34 273
 
of which for reduction
kt
5 198
 
4 957
 
4 754
 
4 817
 
4 828
 
4 844
 
4 863
 
4 693
 
4 838
 
4 863
 
4 878
 
FISHMEAL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
5 343.4
 
5 305.3
 
5 057.7
 
5 364.5
 
5 429.5
 
5 506.0
 
5 566.7
 
5 375.8
 
5 749.6
 
5 824.0
 
5 890.2
 
from whole fish
kt
4 085.0
 
4 012.5
 
3 738.4
 
4 009.3
 
4 034.5
 
4 074.5
 
4 096.6
 
3 871.1
 
4 203.3
 
4 239.8
 
4 269.0
 
Consumption
kt
5 353.1
 
5 312.9
 
5 290.8
 
5 236.6
 
5 336.1
 
5 490.2
 
5 549.7
 
5 619.6
 
5 650.6
 
5 739.2
 
5 874.7
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-12.8
 
-7.6
 
-233.2
 
127.9
 
93.4
 
15.8
 
17.0
 
-243.9
 
99.0
 
84.9
 
15.5
 
Price 6
USD/t
1 447.7
 
1 418.3
 
1 502.5
 
1 467.1
 
1 499.1
 
1 539.3
 
1 575.7
 
1 701.3
 
1 638.8
 
1 656.4
 
1 676.9
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 591.5
 
1 531.6
 
1 544.2
 
1 556.2
 
1 578.0
 
1 592.0
 
1 610.3
 
1 631.3
 
1 646.5
 
1 662.2
 
1 678.1
 
from whole fish
kt
1 175.9
 
1 120.6
 
1 125.5
 
1 127.0
 
1 133.0
 
1 134.3
 
1 138.8
 
1 146.4
 
1 148.0
 
1 150.1
 
1 152.2
 
Consumption
kt
1 640.2
 
1 621.7
 
1 566.5
 
1 544.5
 
1 552.2
 
1 573.5
 
1 564.3
 
1 553.3
 
1 555.9
 
1 558.5
 
1 566.4
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-9.1
 
-32.6
 
-52.2
 
35.9
 
6.4
 
1.8
 
4.0
 
-52.9
 
34.5
 
8.4
 
3.0
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
3 751.9
 
3 773.6
 
3 513.4
 
3 808.3
 
3 851.4
 
3 914.0
 
3 956.3
 
3 744.4
 
4 103.1
 
4 161.8
 
4 212.1
 
from whole fish
kt
2 909.1
 
2 892.0
 
2 612.9
 
2 882.3
 
2 901.5
 
2 940.2
 
2 957.8
 
2 724.7
 
3 055.3
 
3 089.7
 
3 116.8
 
Consumption
kt
3 867.5
 
3 801.2
 
3 824.4
 
3 782.1
 
3 863.9
 
3 986.7
 
4 045.4
 
4 116.3
 
4 134.8
 
4 210.6
 
4 328.3
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-3.7
 
25.0
 
-181.0
 
92.0
 
87.0
 
14.0
 
13.0
 
-191.0
 
64.5
 
76.5
 
12.5
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 614.5
 
1 557.4
 
1 524.5
 
1 555.6
 
1 579.6
 
1 601.7
 
1 624.8
 
1 603.1
 
1 655.5
 
1 680.0
 
1 702.0
 
from whole fish
kt
1 200.8
 
1 145.4
 
1 104.9
 
1 125.9
 
1 134.2
 
1 143.8
 
1 153.3
 
1 118.4
 
1 157.4
 
1 168.4
 
1 176.8
 
Consumption
kt
1 873.8
 
1 921.6
 
1 864.9
 
1 831.0
 
1 842.0
 
1 871.9
 
1 863.8
 
1 855.5
 
1 863.5
 
1 876.2
 
1 899.0
 
Variation in stocks
kt
5.2
 
-47.6
 
-62.2
 
30.9
 
11.4
 
3.8
 
7.0
 
-57.9
 
34.5
 
10.4
 
6.0
 
FISH OIL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 187.4
 
1 270.8
 
1 224.6
 
1 286.5
 
1 300.2
 
1 316.4
 
1 328.8
 
1 294.4
 
1 363.6
 
1 377.9
 
1 391.2
 
from whole fish
kt
702.2
 
729.1
 
674.6
 
724.8
 
727.8
 
734.0
 
736.4
 
692.1
 
752.6
 
758.2
 
762.5
 
Consumption
kt
1 210.2
 
1 254.9
 
1 254.4
 
1 261.6
 
1 299.2
 
1 312.9
 
1 327.4
 
1 336.3
 
1 339.2
 
1 382.2
 
1 392.5
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-22.8
 
13.0
 
-31.8
 
23.9
 
1.0
 
4.5
 
3.4
 
-38.9
 
28.5
 
-0.2
 
0.7
 
Price 7
USD/t
1 600.3
 
1 871.0
 
1 956.0
 
1 898.3
 
1 920.0
 
1 959.4
 
2 003.8
 
2 131.7
 
2 075.9
 
2 106.4
 
2 142.9
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
457.1
 
460.8
 
465.1
 
469.4
 
474.8
 
479.4
 
484.3
 
489.6
 
493.9
 
498.0
 
502.0
 
from whole fish
kt
214.9
 
201.4
 
200.7
 
199.7
 
199.8
 
199.2
 
199.0
 
199.3
 
198.7
 
198.3
 
197.9
 
Consumption
kt
593.9
 
611.8
 
616.6
 
618.4
 
639.7
 
650.5
 
658.6
 
671.1
 
667.1
 
691.5
 
695.0
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-4.1
 
-9.1
 
-13.8
 
11.9
 
3.0
 
-0.5
 
-0.6
 
-14.9
 
11.5
 
2.8
 
-0.3
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
732.3
 
810.0
 
759.6
 
817.1
 
825.5
 
837.0
 
844.5
 
804.8
 
869.7
 
879.9
 
889.2
 
from whole fish
kt
489.3
 
527.7
 
473.9
 
525.1
 
528.1
 
534.8
 
537.5
 
492.8
 
553.8
 
559.9
 
564.6
 
Consumption
kt
578.1
 
623.0
 
619.9
 
627.2
 
645.5
 
650.4
 
658.8
 
657.2
 
666.1
 
686.7
 
695.5
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-18.8
 
22.0
 
-18.0
 
12.0
 
-2.0
 
5.0
 
4.0
 
-24.0
 
17.0
 
-3.0
 
1.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
558.4
 
559.1
 
554.3
 
563.2
 
569.5
 
575.9
 
582.4
 
579.3
 
591.9
 
598.2
 
603.7
 
from whole fish
kt
252.5
 
244.1
 
233.9
 
237.0
 
237.5
 
238.2
 
239.1
 
230.5
 
237.8
 
239.0
 
239.7
 
Consumption
kt
771.2
 
803.6
 
802.7
 
813.4
 
841.1
 
851.9
 
860.5
 
862.4
 
869.4
 
902.6
 
910.4
 
Variation in stocks
kt
4.7
 
-11.1
 
-19.8
 
14.9
 
-1.0
 
6.5
 
0.4
 
-21.9
 
14.5
 
-2.2
 
-0.3
 
Note: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Average 2017-19est: Data for 2019 are estimated. Prices are in nominal terms.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Data are in live weight equivalent.
2.
World unit value of aquaculture fisheries production (live weight basis).
3.
FAO estimated value of world ex vessel value of capture fisheries production excluding for reduction.
4.
World unit value of trade (sum of exports and imports).
5.
Data are in product weight.
6.
Fishmeal, 64-65% protein, Hamburg, Germany.
7.
Fish oil, any origin, N.W. Europe.
Source: OECD/FAO (2020), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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