1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.35 - Main policy assumptions for cotton markets

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.35Main policy assumptions for cotton markets
A.35Main policy assumptions for cotton markets
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Export tax equivalent of export barriers
%
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
BRAZIL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Producer Minimum Price, lint cotton
BRL/t
3 721.6
 
4 365.8
 
4 799.8
 
4 799.8
 
4 799.8
 
4 799.8
 
4 799.8
 
4 852.8
 
5 080.1
 
5 257.0
 
5 440.1
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
EUROPEAN UNION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Area for coupled payment
kha
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
301.7
 
Coupled payment per ha 1
EUR/ha
853.3
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
830.0
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Minimum support price
INR/t
39 090.4
 
41 452.8
 
43 061.4
 
44 677.5
 
46 327.2
 
48 169.3
 
51 031.4
 
51 031.4
 
51 031.4
 
51 031.4
 
51 031.4
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
JAPAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
RUSSIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
STAX participation rate
%
28.5
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
27.0
 
CRP area
Mha
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
1.1
 
Economic Adjustment Assistance payment level
USD/t
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
66.1
 
TRQ
kt
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
73.2
 
In-quota tariff
USD/t
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
44.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
USD/t
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
314.0
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
TRQ
kt
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
894.0
 
Target price
CNY/t
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
In-quota tariff
%
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
TURKEY
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff equivalent of import barriers
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
If the area is higher than the ceiling, the amount is proportionally reduced.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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