1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.22.1 - Butter projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.22.1Butter projections: Production and trade
A.22.1Butter projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
10 375
 
12 522
 
2.10
 
1.71
 
856
 
1 101
 
0.64
 
2.48
 
922
 
1 168
 
1.13
 
2.32
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
4 592
 
5 433
 
1.06
 
1.33
 
274
 
299
 
-4.90
 
1.63
 
824
 
1 079
 
0.88
 
2.64
 
NORTH AMERICA
922
 
1 141
 
2.71
 
1.93
 
26
 
23
 
-2.45
 
-4.11
 
61
 
54
 
6.10
 
5.06
 
Canada
89
 
88
 
1.85
 
-0.35
 
8
 
7
 
0.19
 
-1.88
 
1
 
0
 
-13.91
 
0.00
 
United States
833
 
1 053
 
2.80
 
2.15
 
18
 
17
 
-3.46
 
-4.85
 
60
 
54
 
7.81
 
5.06
 
EUROPE
2 822
 
3 340
 
0.37
 
1.05
 
173
 
183
 
-8.13
 
3.10
 
229
 
410
 
-2.71
 
3.30
 
European Union
2 228
 
2 705
 
0.65
 
1.19
 
16
 
10
 
-26.16
 
3.40
 
142
 
276
 
-5.28
 
2.93
 
Russia
303
 
291
 
-2.47
 
-0.85
 
139
 
157
 
-5.92
 
3.30
 
3
 
4
 
-2.07
 
3.14
 
Ukraine
106
 
124
 
1.49
 
2.11
 
9
 
1
 
44.26
 
-12.81
 
9
 
19
 
2.23
 
14.77
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
717
 
817
 
2.58
 
1.80
 
27
 
30
 
10.31
 
1.16
 
528
 
607
 
2.38
 
2.05
 
Australia
118
 
123
 
-2.33
 
0.19
 
22
 
24
 
7.14
 
1.45
 
49
 
51
 
-6.41
 
0.99
 
New Zealand
599
 
694
 
3.82
 
2.12
 
5
 
6
 
..
 
0.00
 
480
 
556
 
3.73
 
2.15
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
131
 
136
 
-1.83
 
0.60
 
49
 
62
 
2.22
 
0.83
 
5
 
8
 
11.70
 
3.86
 
Japan
65
 
60
 
-2.38
 
-0.80
 
13
 
14
 
9.53
 
-0.46
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
14
 
12
 
-3.86
 
0.49
 
10
 
17
 
3.02
 
2.14
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
13
 
18
 
2.05
 
4.19
 
3
 
3
 
0.31
 
-4.42
 
4
 
7
 
18.35
 
4.62
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
5 782
 
7 089
 
2.99
 
2.02
 
581
 
803
 
4.43
 
2.82
 
98
 
89
 
3.56
 
-0.94
 
AFRICA
302
 
347
 
3.01
 
1.39
 
119
 
203
 
1.41
 
4.38
 
4
 
3
 
13.05
 
-1.62
 
NORTH AFRICA
171
 
193
 
1.66
 
1.23
 
96
 
157
 
3.81
 
4.00
 
2
 
1
 
13.38
 
-1.26
 
Algeria
5
 
7
 
11.98
 
2.26
 
19
 
26
 
6.46
 
2.49
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-2.43
 
Egypt
124
 
133
 
0.47
 
0.66
 
48
 
104
 
8.02
 
6.17
 
2
 
1
 
23.75
 
-1.52
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
131
 
153
 
5.05
 
1.60
 
23
 
46
 
-5.08
 
5.80
 
2
 
2
 
17.31
 
-1.88
 
Ethiopia
18
 
23
 
32.77
 
2.21
 
0
 
0
 
-2.56
 
14.67
 
0
 
0
 
17.60
 
-23.43
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
2
 
2
 
-1.89
 
1.53
 
1
 
0
 
21.37
 
-1.51
 
Mozambique
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1
 
2
 
25.10
 
4.75
 
0
 
0
 
0.78
 
..
 
Nigeria
13
 
16
 
3.22
 
1.98
 
7
 
15
 
-12.54
 
6.75
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
-0.90
 
Tanzania
32
 
33
 
9.50
 
0.55
 
0
 
6
 
9.14
 
19.52
 
0
 
0
 
-10.55
 
..
 
Zambia
0
 
0
 
1.30
 
-17.73
 
0
 
0
 
5.58
 
5.73
 
0
 
0
 
36.34
 
-5.42
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
281
 
312
 
1.82
 
1.16
 
51
 
59
 
-2.37
 
0.50
 
52
 
54
 
5.33
 
0.97
 
Argentina
58
 
64
 
2.12
 
1.05
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
11
 
19
 
-2.97
 
8.02
 
Brazil
85
 
95
 
0.72
 
0.98
 
3
 
2
 
17.08
 
-0.71
 
2
 
1
 
-5.71
 
-3.64
 
Chile
23
 
28
 
4.33
 
1.72
 
4
 
4
 
25.26
 
0.85
 
4
 
3
 
15.13
 
-0.85
 
Colombia
21
 
23
 
0.29
 
1.30
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
-3.43
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
3.84
 
Mexico
15
 
18
 
0.78
 
2.26
 
22
 
26
 
-7.76
 
0.10
 
6
 
1
 
39.89
 
-16.41
 
Paraguay
0
 
0
 
..
 
-4.02
 
0
 
0
 
7.39
 
2.79
 
0
 
0
 
11.22
 
-2.71
 
Peru
4
 
3
 
11.25
 
-2.49
 
7
 
12
 
13.00
 
4.08
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Uruguay
26
 
24
 
5.16
 
0.01
 
1
 
1
 
..
 
0.01
 
23
 
23
 
7.77
 
-0.01
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
5 200
 
6 430
 
3.06
 
2.10
 
411
 
541
 
6.80
 
2.56
 
42
 
32
 
1.98
 
-3.45
 
Bangladesh
27
 
37
 
2.98
 
3.22
 
0
 
0
 
-5.98
 
-3.06
 
0
 
0
 
-7.93
 
1.44
 
China 2
96
 
108
 
-1.01
 
1.04
 
60
 
72
 
21.76
 
4.98
 
3
 
3
 
11.43
 
1.00
 
India
3 814
 
4 706
 
3.35
 
2.06
 
1
 
4
 
-16.85
 
16.37
 
8
 
0
 
1.33
 
-32.92
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
23
 
31
 
8.45
 
2.47
 
0
 
0
 
12.52
 
-2.41
 
Iran
207
 
235
 
0.24
 
1.12
 
43
 
58
 
..
 
3.63
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
-0.28
 
Korea
4
 
6
 
-1.22
 
2.79
 
7
 
9
 
11.14
 
1.66
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
17
 
21
 
5.06
 
1.32
 
5
 
5
 
8.23
 
-1.31
 
Pakistan
714
 
942
 
2.61
 
2.84
 
0
 
2
 
-13.20
 
46.89
 
1
 
0
 
35.92
 
-41.14
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
18
 
28
 
6.21
 
3.32
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
-3.22
 
Saudi Arabia
5
 
8
 
2.84
 
4.70
 
59
 
73
 
10.11
 
1.97
 
6
 
5
 
..
 
-1.93
 
Thailand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
13
 
14
 
2.28
 
0.99
 
1
 
1
 
17.01
 
-0.98
 
Turkey
203
 
213
 
5.77
 
0.87
 
21
 
37
 
16.71
 
0.78
 
0
 
0
 
19.35
 
-0.18
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
21
 
29
 
12.04
 
2.98
 
0
 
0
 
-10.83
 
-2.89
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
226
 
282
 
4.11
 
2.03
 
12
 
24
 
-0.08
 
6.82
 
4
 
4
 
6.56
 
-1.93
 
OECD 3
4 245
 
5 057
 
1.58
 
1.40
 
140
 
165
 
-3.83
 
0.36
 
744
 
944
 
0.74
 
2.34
 
BRICS
4 311
 
5 218
 
2.67
 
1.84
 
205
 
238
 
-2.27
 
3.70
 
20
 
15
 
2.07
 
-3.49
 
..
Not available
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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