OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
Table A.10.2 - Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, per capita food use
Also available in: French
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.10.2 | Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, per capita food use | ||||||||
A.10.2 | Vegetable oil projections: Consumption, per capita food use | ||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||
| | CONSUMPTION (kt) | Growth (%) 1 | PER CAPITA FOOD USE (kg) | Growth (%) 1 | ||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 167 529 | 210 405 | 4.32 | 1.81 | 19.1 | 21.0 | 1.75 | 0.78 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 48 824 | 50 364 | 1.94 | 0.13 | 25.8 | 26.0 | -0.16 | -0.14 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 15 792 | 17 382 | 1.61 | 0.83 | 37.9 | 38.8 | -0.95 | 0.08 |
| Canada | 1 108 | 1 369 | 2.29 | 0.44 | 26.5 | 28.9 | -1.26 | -0.45 |
| United States | 14 684 | 16 013 | 1.56 | 0.87 | 39.2 | 39.9 | -0.92 | 0.12 |
| EUROPE | 27 617 | 26 619 | 2.20 | -0.59 | 23.2 | 22.1 | 0.07 | -0.71 |
| European Union | 22 535 | 21 044 | 2.15 | -0.86 | 24.0 | 21.5 | -0.79 | -1.31 |
| Russian Federation | 3 387 | 3 499 | 2.22 | 0.18 | 23.7 | 25.4 | 2.32 | 0.53 |
| Ukraine | 799 | 1 101 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 16.1 | 20.7 | 0.42 | 1.45 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 728 | 974 | 2.00 | 1.79 | 25.4 | 28.1 | 0.23 | 0.01 |
| Australia | 641 | 879 | 2.49 | 1.90 | 26.6 | 29.7 | 0.59 | 0.00 |
| New Zealand | 87 | 95 | -1.07 | 0.81 | 19.4 | 19.1 | -2.11 | -0.09 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 2 | 4 687 | 5 388 | 1.63 | 1.41 | 17.1 | 18.2 | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| Japan | 2 236 | 2 263 | -0.40 | -0.13 | 17.6 | 18.3 | -0.40 | 0.15 |
| South Africa | 1 246 | 1 592 | 4.72 | 2.79 | 22.0 | 23.4 | 2.97 | 0.55 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 118 705 | 160 041 | 5.44 | 2.40 | 17.5 | 20.0 | 2.66 | 1.13 |
| AFRICA | 12 347 | 16 889 | 3.68 | 2.83 | 11.5 | 12.0 | 0.99 | 0.40 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 3 479 | 4 459 | 2.58 | 1.96 | 20.1 | 22.2 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Algeria | 620 | 804 | 1.21 | 2.27 | 15.7 | 17.3 | -0.61 | 0.89 |
| Egypt | 1 832 | 2 383 | 3.75 | 2.11 | 22.1 | 24.6 | 2.03 | 0.71 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 8 868 | 12 430 | 4.14 | 3.16 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 1.21 | 0.53 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 18 120 | 22 667 | 6.92 | 1.45 | 20.0 | 21.6 | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Argentina | 3 384 | 3 830 | 14.49 | 1.11 | 29.7 | 30.6 | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| Brazil | 6 718 | 9 024 | 7.68 | 1.42 | 21.1 | 24.2 | 0.31 | 1.56 |
| Chile | 436 | 520 | 1.79 | 0.82 | 24.5 | 26.8 | 0.84 | 0.07 |
| Mexico | 2 382 | 2 688 | 3.43 | 1.12 | 19.5 | 19.6 | 2.15 | 0.12 |
| Uruguay | 146 | 193 | 7.86 | 2.42 | 16.6 | 19.1 | 2.16 | 1.11 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 88 238 | 120 485 | 5.42 | 2.53 | 18.6 | 22.1 | 3.37 | 1.46 |
| Bangladesh | 1 893 | 2 935 | 4.58 | 4.06 | 12.0 | 16.5 | 3.42 | 3.00 |
| China 3 | 31 330 | 38 755 | 4.49 | 1.73 | 22.2 | 26.3 | 3.71 | 1.37 |
| India | 18 885 | 27 284 | 5.74 | 3.15 | 14.8 | 19.0 | 4.33 | 2.05 |
| Indonesia | 10 814 | 18 913 | 11.77 | 3.66 | 19.6 | 24.1 | 2.13 | 1.82 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 1 739 | 2 113 | 3.42 | 2.87 | 22.2 | 24.0 | 2.14 | 1.82 |
| Korea | 1 073 | 1 254 | 3.89 | 1.45 | 21.8 | 24.4 | 3.29 | 1.07 |
| Malaysia | 4 335 | 6 222 | 2.79 | 2.75 | 24.8 | 25.5 | 2.77 | 0.03 |
| Pakistan | 3 762 | 4 888 | 4.00 | 2.83 | 19.8 | 21.0 | 1.77 | 0.94 |
| Saudi Arabia | 512 | 630 | 4.05 | 1.58 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 2.13 | 0.18 |
| Turkey | 2 283 | 2 685 | 2.41 | 1.18 | 30.0 | 31.8 | 1.33 | 0.30 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 8 064 | 11 389 | 3.52 | 3.28 | 8.8 | 9.8 | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| OECD 4 | 48 032 | 49 457 | 1.98 | 0.09 | 27.1 | 26.9 | -0.26 | -0.25 |
| BRICS | 61 565 | 80 153 | 5.04 | 2.10 | 19.1 | 22.9 | 3.44 | 1.50 |
Note: Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||
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Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |