OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
Table A.23 - Fresh dairy products projections: Production and consumption per capita
Also available in: French
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.23 | Fresh dairy products projections: Production and consumption per capita | ||||||||
A.23 | Fresh dairy products projections: Production and consumption per capita | ||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA (kg) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 504 675 | 651 518 | 2.56 | 2.35 | 70.5 | 81.3 | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 140 497 | 148 934 | 0.21 | 0.49 | 100.7 | 103.3 | -0.24 | 0.21 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 27 638 | 28 882 | -0.60 | 0.54 | 77.8 | 74.6 | -1.49 | -0.23 |
| Canada | 2 863 | 2 942 | -0.15 | 0.26 | 81.4 | 75.7 | -1.23 | -0.64 |
| United States | 24 775 | 25 940 | -0.66 | 0.57 | 77.4 | 74.5 | -1.52 | -0.19 |
| EUROPE | 81 880 | 83 405 | -0.28 | 0.20 | 110.2 | 112.3 | -0.43 | 0.22 |
| European Union | 46 972 | 48 683 | -0.10 | 0.28 | 92.2 | 94.1 | -0.40 | 0.15 |
| Russian Federation | 18 483 | 18 729 | 0.89 | 0.08 | 129.4 | 136.1 | 0.98 | 0.43 |
| Ukraine | 9 450 | 9 684 | -0.95 | 0.43 | 208.9 | 231.2 | -0.44 | 1.14 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 2 963 | 3 301 | 1.86 | 0.88 | 106.4 | 104.4 | 0.34 | -0.27 |
| Australia | 2 507 | 2 846 | 2.24 | 1.03 | 107.4 | 106.9 | 0.62 | -0.16 |
| New Zealand | 456 | 455 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 101.2 | 91.4 | -1.05 | -0.93 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 28 016 | 33 345 | 2.54 | 1.17 | 104.2 | 119.1 | 1.90 | 0.82 |
| Japan | 4 070 | 3 988 | -2.67 | 0.16 | 32.0 | 32.2 | -2.67 | 0.43 |
| South Africa | 3 055 | 3 664 | 2.20 | 1.04 | 57.9 | 65.0 | 1.10 | 0.46 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 364 178 | 502 584 | 3.60 | 2.97 | 63.1 | 76.5 | 2.20 | 1.79 |
| AFRICA | 40 152 | 59 103 | 3.53 | 3.36 | 38.0 | 42.8 | 0.93 | 0.92 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 9 888 | 12 214 | 6.63 | 1.68 | 57.7 | 61.5 | 4.98 | 0.39 |
| Algeria | 3 460 | 4 656 | 6.92 | 2.14 | 88.3 | 101.2 | 4.99 | 0.74 |
| Egypt | 2 926 | 3 269 | 6.77 | 0.75 | 35.7 | 34.1 | 5.01 | -0.62 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 30 265 | 46 889 | 2.68 | 3.85 | 34.2 | 39.7 | -0.10 | 1.20 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 44 470 | 53 379 | 3.00 | 1.41 | 72.1 | 77.9 | 1.84 | 0.47 |
| Argentina | 1 893 | 2 145 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 45.4 | 47.3 | 0.68 | 0.54 |
| Brazil | 15 232 | 18 054 | 5.34 | 1.55 | 76.1 | 83.5 | 4.39 | 0.86 |
| Chile | 1 224 | 1 344 | -0.33 | 0.87 | 69.5 | 70.1 | -1.26 | 0.12 |
| Mexico | 5 402 | 6 342 | 2.81 | 1.57 | 44.2 | 46.3 | 1.54 | 0.56 |
| Uruguay | 960 | 1 094 | 4.52 | 0.41 | 281.7 | 310.4 | 4.18 | 0.11 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 279 556 | 390 103 | 3.71 | 3.15 | 68.3 | 86.6 | 2.57 | 2.28 |
| Bangladesh | 3 163 | 4 489 | 3.92 | 3.06 | 20.2 | 25.5 | 2.76 | 1.98 |
| China 2 | 31 900 | 38 839 | 2.66 | 1.77 | 23.0 | 26.8 | 2.03 | 1.41 |
| India | 153 584 | 226 789 | 4.13 | 3.69 | 122.6 | 161.3 | 2.79 | 2.63 |
| Indonesia | 1 665 | 2 228 | 6.81 | 2.52 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 5.41 | 1.51 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 2 484 | 2 828 | 3.64 | 1.47 | 32.1 | 32.4 | 2.35 | 0.41 |
| Korea | 1 328 | 1 369 | -0.49 | 0.11 | 27.0 | 26.6 | -1.07 | -0.26 |
| Malaysia | 107 | 124 | 5.90 | 1.18 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.09 | -0.16 |
| Pakistan | 58 198 | 78 533 | 2.96 | 2.95 | 319.5 | 364.9 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| Saudi Arabia | 1 368 | 1 572 | 5.97 | 1.78 | 47.5 | 46.4 | 4.02 | 0.38 |
| Turkey | 14 141 | 17 486 | 5.77 | 1.74 | 188.8 | 210.5 | 4.45 | 0.85 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 32 096 | 50 230 | 3.00 | 4.02 | 35.7 | 44.0 | 0.68 | 1.80 |
| OECD 3 | 105 031 | 112 777 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 80.5 | 82.1 | -0.13 | 0.20 |
| BRICS | 222 255 | 306 075 | 3.66 | 3.00 | 73.3 | 93.8 | 2.74 | 2.35 |
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |