OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028
The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.24 | Main policy assumptions for sugar markets | ||||||||||||
C.24 | Main policy assumptions for sugar markets | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | Average 2016-18est | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| ARGENTINA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, sugar | ARS/t | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| BRAZIL | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | % | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 |
| CANADA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | CAD/t | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 |
| Tariff, white sugar | CAD/t | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 |
| CHINA 1 | ||||||||||||
| TRQ sugar | kt | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 |
| In-quota tariff, raw sugar | % | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| In-quota tariff, white sugar | % | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Tariff, over-quota | % | 69.4 | 88.3 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 | 85.0 |
| EUROPEAN UNION 2 | ||||||||||||
| Voluntary coupled support | ||||||||||||
| Sugarbeet 3 | mln EUR | 178.0 | 180.2 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 | 169.3 |
| Tariff, raw sugar | EUR/t | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | EUR/t | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 |
| INDIA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, sugar | % | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| INDONESIA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, sugar | % | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 | 20.6 |
| JAPAN | ||||||||||||
| Minimum stabilisation price, raw sugar | JPY/kg | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 |
| Tariff, raw sugar | JPY/kg | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 |
| Tariff, white sugar | JPY/kg | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 |
| KOREA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | % | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| MEXICO | ||||||||||||
| Mexico common external tariff, raw sugar | USD/t | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 |
| Mexico common external tariff, white sugar | USD/t | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 |
| RUSSIA | ||||||||||||
| Minimum tariff, raw sugar | USD/t | 230.3 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 203.0 | 203.0 | 203.0 | 203.0 |
| Minimum tariff, white sugar | USD/t | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 |
| UNITED STATES | ||||||||||||
| Loan rate, raw sugar | USD/t | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 |
| Loan rate, white sugar | USD/t | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 |
| TRQ, raw sugar | kt rse | 1 463 | 1 422 | 1 426 | 1 487 | 1 596 | 1 761 | 1 843 | 1 951 | 2 038 | 2 188 | 2 250 |
| TRQ, refined sugar | kt rse | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 |
| Raw sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff | USD/t | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 |
| White sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff | USD/t | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 |
| VIET NAM | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, sugar | % | 58.5 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 | 60.8 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. | |||||||||||||
Production supported by a EU sugar production quota at 13.5 million tonnes of sugar and 720 kt of HFCS until 30 september 2017. | |||||||||||||
Implemented in 10 Member States. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |