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L’économie russe continue de croître à un rythme élevé, bénéficiant d’une amélioration prolongée des termes de l’échange qui alimente la forte hausse de la consommation intérieure. Cette étude analyse le défi que l’adaptation à des prix du pétrole durablement élevés suscite en termes de gestion macroéconomique. Il examine d’abord les conséquences de l’augmentation des termes de l’échange sur l’économie nationale, en particulier son impact sur l’appréciation du taux de change, la compétitivité et l’inflation. Il analyse ensuite le rôle que les politiques monétaire et budgétaire peuvent jouer pour garantir un ajustement en douceur à cette augmentation des termes de l’échange. Le chapitre conclut que la politique budgétaire devrait être l’instrument à privilégier pour réaliser cet ajustement. Enfin, l’étude considère le rôle que peuvent potentiellement jouer des règles budgétaires pour mettre l’économie et le budget à l’abri des fluctuations des prix des matières premières, et se concentre sur la gestion des recettes pétrolières et gazières exceptionnelles transférées dans le Fonds de stabilisation.
Brisbane Girls Grammar School’s new Creative Learning Centre was conceived to group arts studies which were previously scattered across the campus and to serve all students as a meeting place and technology hub. The building is specifically designed to provide the most flexible and innovative environment for teenaged girls, having special regard for the way girls learn and interact socially. The unique design also helps ensure protection from Brisbane’s hot and humid environment.
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A well-functioning public expenditure management system is considered a critical pillar of government efficiency. This article discusses PEM systems in developing countries using an analytical framework based on principal-agent theory. This simple model can be applied to various PEM systems and allows for comparisons between institutional settings. To illustrate this, the authors analyse the benefits derived from the use by the ministry of finance of ex post audits and ex ante controls, and assess their value in terms of their ability to deter cheating. The authors derive a set of possible “control regimes” which can be used by the ministry of finance.

This paper describes the results of a detailed study relating the performance of undergraduate students admitted to Brazil’s State University of Campinas (Unicamp) from 1994 through 1997 and their socioeconomic and educational background. The study is based on a hierarchical model for the relevant variables involved. The main result is that students coming from disadvantaged backgrounds, in both educational and socioeconomic aspects, have a higher relative performance than their complementary group. We report on an affirmative action programme established at Unicamp for undergraduate admissions, partially motivated by those findings, and present evidence from an initial evaluation showing the programme’s positive impact. Finally, we comment on the effect this study and the Unicamp programme have had on the present debate about affirmative action access policies in Brazilian higher education institutions.

by Renato H.L. Pedrosa, J. Norberto W. Dachs, Rafael P. Maia and Cibele Y. Andrade, Benilton S. Carvalho

Français

The impacts of market-related policies and revenues on higher education are not uniform but globalisation has opened most institutions to new pressures. The public funding models developed 50 years ago underestimated the full cost of mass higher education as an entitlement while the sheer scale of resources needed to sustain a comprehensive research university demand a more nuanced balance of research and teaching for most institutions. These same pressures threaten equitable access if rising tuition fees are not fully matched by adequate need-based financial aid while in the absence of tuition pressures, unfunded increases in student participation undermines the quality of higher education. In this environment, justifications of increased funding are often based on utilitarian goals affecting the motives of research and scholarship and distorting the balance of curricular developments. In contrast, the increased range of revenue streams has created opportunities for more creative and less regulated institutional priorities. The potential impacts of private interests on higher education are well recognised but a politically vulnerable and often singular dependency on state funding is also capable of deflecting academic values. As institutions of higher education clarify their values to cope with global pressures to provide mass higher education and to meet the needs of the knowledge economy, they must also serve as places of imagination, innovation, disputation, scepticism and questioning. Those values are also critical as leaders in higher education attempt to confront themselves with the changes that they themselves need to make to their institutions.

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Africa is unlikely to reach the drinking water and sanitation Millennium Development Goals. Disparities among countries are large, and the deficit in sanitation is greater than that for drinking water. Serious reforms in institutions, legal frameworks, and policies are needed.
Français
Dans la foulée d'une croissance économique rapide, le marché du travail coréen a, depuis quelques décennies, crée de nombreux emplois. Mais récemment, cette évolution positive de l'emploi s'est accompagnée d'un développement rapide des emplois temporaires et autres types d'emplois flexibles ou atypiques (généralement dénommés en Corée emplois "non réguliers"). Cela a suscité dans la société coréenne beaucoup d’inquiétude quant à la persistance d’un marché du travail à deux vitesses et aux divers inconvénients que cela comporte…
Reforming agricultural policies by reducing distorting support improves economic efficiency as a whole through a better allocation of resources. This implies that adjustment may have adverse effects on some agricultural households and other people engaged in the sector, in particular in the short term. There may also be negative impacts on upstream and downstream sectors and on regional economies that rely on commodities whose prices and production levels fall with reductions in support and protection. Despite pressures to reform to meet multilateral and bilateral trade commitments and to respond to budgetary constraints, these adverse impacts are a major reason why governments find it difficult to make progress in policy reform.
Français
Growth will accelerate for net oil exporters and weaken slightly for oil importers, strengthening the trends projected in African Economic Outlook 2006. For the oil importers, moreover, inflation is moving to double-digit levels. Budget deficits in oil-importing countries appear to have stabilised. The current account deficits of these same countries have increased from 2 % in 1998-2004, to about 4 % since 2005. * This Policy Insights introduces the African Economic Outlook 2007.
Français
The recent expansion of African horticultural exports has proven that business is changing on the continent. The experience of Senegal and Mali suggests that the two countries are facing major challenges in strengthening policy co-ordination, improving business environment and realising market opportunities. Deepening public-private dialogue will help address these challenges. * This Policy Insights introduces the African Economic Outlook 2007.
Français
Fast-growing African countries are attracting private equity and risk capital as never before. The conditions attracting private investors are likely to improve.
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Strong commodity prices are driving Africa’s growth, which should be about 6 % in 2007 and 2008. External vulnerability is a function of its limited integration into international trade and investment flows. Africa should mobilise external sources more strategically. In this respect, aid for trade can be import. * This Policy Insights introduces the African Economic Outlook 2007.
Français
This paper is concerned with the links between agglomeration, productivity and transport investment. If improvements in transport systems give rise to changes in the mass of economic activity accessible to firms, for instance by reducing travel times or the costs of travel, then they can induce positive benefits via agglomeration economies. The paper presents empirical results from an econometric analysis of the relationship between productivity and accessibility to economic activity for different sectors of the UK economy. The results show that agglomeration economies do exist and that they can be substantial, particularly for services. Furthermore, the effect of agglomeration externalities is not trivial when considered in the context of transport appraisal. Initial calculations typically indicate additions to conventional user benefits of 10%-20% arising from increasing returns to economic mass.

Sub-central taxes are needed because sub-central governments spend large sums. This article discusses some key issues in sub-central taxation from an economist’s perspective, including the scale and role of sub-central governments, their main revenue sources, and questions of equity, tax sharing, economic management and accountability. A more detailed discussion explores the relative shares of domestic taxes and business taxes.

The size of the hedge fund sector, using IOSCO sources and results from responses to an OECD Questionnaire on Hedge Funds, is around USD 1.4 trillion in assets under management (AUM). While this does not seem that large compared to total global AUM, the hedge fund share of trading turnover (augmented by leverage and investment style) is much greater than its share of global AUM....

  • 26 nov. 2007
  • Jens Høj, Vincenzo Galasso, Giuseppe Nicoletti, Thai-Thanh Dang
  • Pages : 59

This paper was originally prepared for the OECD Working Party No. 1 under the authority of the OECD’s Economic Policy Committee. Jens Høj and Giuseppe Nicoletti work for the OECD Economics Department as a senior economist in the Country Studies Branch and as Head of the Structural Policy Analysis Division 1, respectively. Vincenzo Galasso is an Associate Professor of Economics at Università Bocconi in Italy and Thai-Thang Dang is a private sector consultant. The authors wish to thank Jean Philippe Cotis, Jørgen Elmeskov, Michael P. Feiner, Christopher Heady, Nick Johnstone and many other colleagues in the OECD Economics Department as well as representatives from OECD member countries for useful comments on a previous version of the paper.

Français
Nous examinons l'impact de quatre politiques du marché du travail – la législation pour la protection de l'emploi, le salaire minimum, le congé parental et l'indemnisation du chômage – sur la productivité. Pour ces politiques, nous utilisons des données annuelles agrégées comparables entre pays ainsi que des données sectorielles sur la productivité de 1979 à 2003 sont utilisées. Nous analysons ces données sur la base d'une méthode de "différence de différences", qui exploite la variabilité des effets des politiques dans les différents secteurs. Notre stratégie d'identification se fonde sur l'hypothèse que les comportements des entreprises ou des salariés, et donc leur productivité, sont davantage influencés par une politique dans les secteurs d'activité où celle-ci est vraisemblablement plus contraignante. L'avantage de cette approche est double. D'une part, à l'instar des analyses agrégées concernant plusieurs pays, nous pouvons exploiter la variabilité des politiques entre les pays. D'autre part, contrairement à ces analyses, nous pouvons contrôler pour des facteurs inobservés qui, en moyenne, ont vraisemblablement le même effet sur la productivité dans les secteurs où les politiques sont contraignantes et dans les secteurs où elles ne le sont pas.

The requirement to assess public employees is increasing within European public services. Dictated by budgetary imperatives and performance improvement concerns, it is becoming the norm in all administrations. One of the most sensitive areas of application is undoubtedly higher education. The traditional independence and autonomy of the academic personnel tends to clash with the state’s desire to revamp its human resources management using the assessment tool. This study relates to the implementation of a procedure designed to assess higher education public employees in France and Finland, based on the observation of two institutions. It focuses in particular on the role of trade unions in this reform. The behaviour of the different players is analysed in relation to several traditional sociological approaches.

Français

Pension funds have become the largest class of investors in many markets and, given their size, the allocation of their assets has important implications for the relative prices of financial assets. There may be a trend shift of private (defined benefit) pension fund asset allocation strategies away from equity to bonds, especially to government bonds, given their limited credit risk. The potential demand for such bonds could, in principle, be very substantial, sufficient in fact to result in a scarcity of such bonds in circulation. Many debt managers have taken advantage of current bond market conditions and issued long-term to ultra-long-term bonds. But whether they should follow a strategy of maturity-lengthening with the express aim to facilitate the task for pension fund managers is a different matter. Most policy makers would not recommend that governments undertake to issue long-term debt with the express intent of meeting this demand, not least because they expect the price mechanism to clear apparent imbalances in asset markets.

L'économie autrichienne a fortement bénéficié du développement de ses relations économiques avec l'Europe centrale et orientale, qui a sensiblement renforcé la croissance, la productivité, la compétitivité et les bénéfices des entreprises, ainsi que l'emploi total – encore que le bilan soit plus mitigé à cet égard. En fait, parmi les anciens États membres de l'Union européenne (UE), c'est l'Autriche qui a tiré le plus grand profit de la transition des pays d'Europe centrale et orientale (PECO) de l'économie planifiée vers l'économie de marché, puis de l'adhésion des dix nouveaux États membres, situés pour la plupart en Europe centrale et orientale, qui ont rejoint l'UE en 2004. Néanmoins, il semble que ces évolutions aient eu des conséquences préjudiciables sur des segments importants de la population autrichienne, en particulier sur les travailleurs peu qualifiés et semi-qualifiés du secteur manufacturier. Les pouvoirs publics doivent donc prendre des mesures pour aider les catégories de main-d'oeuvre ayant des difficultés à faire face à la concurrence croissante des PECO. En outre, les autorités peuvent déployer davantage d'efforts pour rendre le territoire autrichien plus attractif pour les travailleurs expatriés hautement qualifiés et très compétents, ainsi que pour préserver la position de Vienne en tant que plaque tournante pour les multinationales présentes dans la région. À cet égard, il serait notamment nécessaire de renforcer les voies de communication orientales, ainsi que de réduire au minimum les obstacles bureaucratiques et les formalités administratives pour les entreprises étrangères qui souhaitent faire de Vienne leur base d'opérations.
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