OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2011 Issue 2
The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.
Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country and an extensive statistical annex.
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The muted recovery, led so far by exports, government consumption and restocking, is expected to come to a halt despite low interest rates and ongoing fiscal stimulus. The renewed global slowdown will depress exports and postpone private investment. Uncertainty and worsening labour market conditions will act as a drag on household consumption. As a result, activity is not projected to pick up pace before next spring. With continued slack in the economy, inflation is set to remain subdued.
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