OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.6.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.6.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 298 937 | 324 230 | 0.37 | 1.15 | 40 917 | 47 903 | 5.99 | 2.61 | 45 469 | 49 758 | 4.55 | 2.50 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 185 801 | 184 852 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 7 595 | 8 704 | -3.08 | 0.92 | 38 886 | 40 380 | 4.03 | 2.45 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 29 922 | 28 523 | -0.92 | 0.38 | 1 986 | 3 573 | -0.89 | 5.15 | 12 133 | 14 367 | 1.01 | 3.29 |
| Canada | 12 344 | 12 942 | -3.23 | 0.80 | 104 | 492 | 3.73 | 2.45 | 4 796 | 6 390 | -1.07 | 1.61 |
| United States | 17 578 | 15 581 | 0.92 | 0.04 | 1 882 | 3 081 | -1.17 | 5.77 | 7 337 | 7 977 | 2.14 | 4.83 |
| EUROPE | 138 365 | 137 295 | -0.08 | 0.41 | 1 170 | 1 444 | -8.75 | 1.11 | 18 565 | 17 888 | 5.15 | 2.33 |
| European Union | 95 042 | 93 272 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 573 | 676 | -12.10 | 2.56 | 10 600 | 10 255 | 7.38 | 2.43 |
| Russia | 26 544 | 26 876 | -0.66 | 0.24 | 80 | 258 | -3.79 | 0.14 | 3 910 | 4 025 | 11.69 | 2.73 |
| Ukraine | 10 191 | 9 833 | -2.32 | 1.00 | 9 | 5 | -9.38 | -0.43 | 3 972 | 3 505 | 0.71 | 1.64 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 12 132 | 12 618 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 41 | 50 | 88.98 | -0.66 | 7 699 | 7 445 | 9.13 | 1.27 |
| Australia | 11 674 | 12 098 | 2.69 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 7 699 | 7 444 | 9.16 | 1.27 |
| New Zealand | 458 | 519 | 3.71 | 1.49 | 41 | 50 | 98.03 | -0.66 | 0 | 0 | -26.80 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 5 382 | 6 416 | 3.09 | 1.69 | 4 398 | 3 637 | -0.23 | -1.97 | 489 | 680 | -3.71 | 2.50 |
| Japan | 212 | 213 | -0.61 | 0.13 | 3 284 | 2 397 | -1.82 | -2.96 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Kazakhstan | 2 864 | 3 484 | 1.63 | 1.96 | 10 | 10 | -20.96 | 0.27 | 468 | 670 | -3.35 | 2.52 |
| South Africa | 557 | 660 | 3.43 | 1.97 | 166 | 189 | 5.87 | -1.82 | 20 | 10 | -10.47 | 1.34 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 113 136 | 139 378 | 1.03 | 2.06 | 33 322 | 39 199 | 9.75 | 3.03 | 6 584 | 9 378 | 7.33 | 2.75 |
| AFRICA | 48 874 | 63 535 | 1.85 | 2.63 | 3 724 | 4 928 | 6.79 | 0.98 | 2 336 | 2 537 | 10.40 | 3.37 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 5 578 | 6 302 | 2.59 | 1.70 | 2 699 | 3 886 | 9.57 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| Algeria | 1 485 | 1 862 | 4.41 | 2.08 | 759 | 1 001 | 28.57 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Egypt | 810 | 969 | -3.00 | 2.05 | 92 | 75 | 24.15 | -3.87 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 43 295 | 57 232 | 1.81 | 2.74 | 1 024 | 1 042 | 2.06 | 0.56 | 2 336 | 2 537 | 10.40 | 3.37 |
| Ethiopia | 11 358 | 16 903 | 7.29 | 3.91 | 81 | 0 | -43.43 | -0.11 | 1 350 | 2 082 | 42.68 | 6.65 |
| Ghana | 407 | 478 | -2.29 | 1.65 | 0 | 0 | -60.84 | 0.44 | 20 | 6 | 185.78 | -7.25 |
| Mozambique | 237 | 346 | -7.45 | 2.34 | 0 | 16 | -45.83 | .. | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| Nigeria | 8 331 | 10 324 | -0.55 | 2.08 | 20 | 24 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 100 | 63 | -5.27 | 1.60 |
| Tanzania | 1 166 | 1 596 | 2.46 | 3.34 | 3 | 102 | 20.18 | 22.11 | 0 | 0 | 15.62 | .. |
| Zambia | 45 | 60 | -3.09 | 2.96 | 0 | 1 | -56.03 | 36.35 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 20 520 | 24 706 | 3.51 | 1.71 | 3 070 | 3 185 | -1.52 | 0.65 | 3 549 | 6 435 | 8.42 | 3.32 |
| Argentina | 7 042 | 10 166 | 7.51 | 2.56 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 3 383 | 6 227 | 11.16 | 3.31 |
| Brazil | 2 583 | 3 062 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 398 | 511 | 5.92 | 2.06 | 12 | 7 | -38.64 | 2.93 |
| Chile | 697 | 735 | 5.28 | 1.49 | 725 | 746 | 21.06 | -0.27 | 50 | 49 | 7.72 | 0.26 |
| Colombia | 26 | 29 | -21.52 | 1.36 | 1 052 | 1 301 | 19.89 | 1.77 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| Mexico | 8 060 | 8 296 | 2.31 | 0.66 | 657 | 473 | -19.63 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 | -20.81 | 3.19 |
| Paraguay | 31 | 36 | 1.09 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 4.06 |
| Peru | 269 | 311 | 1.89 | 1.63 | 120 | 121 | 0.85 | -0.73 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Uruguay | 527 | 638 | -0.27 | 1.41 | 5 | 5 | 19.20 | -0.02 | 90 | 135 | -0.08 | 5.74 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 43 742 | 51 138 | -0.79 | 1.56 | 26 528 | 31 086 | 12.48 | 3.68 | 699 | 406 | -3.64 | -5.01 |
| Bangladesh | 77 | 94 | 24.51 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 | -1.78 | 10.90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| China 2 | 9 612 | 11 055 | -1.46 | 1.24 | 13 902 | 15 886 | 35.79 | 6.76 | 148 | 172 | -9.20 | -0.21 |
| India | 18 387 | 21 314 | -1.17 | 1.66 | 2 | 6 | 26.85 | 0.98 | 532 | 215 | 11.56 | -7.57 |
| Indonesia | 0 | 0 | -4.06 | 1.74 | 104 | 114 | 12.89 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| Iran | 2 881 | 3 517 | 1.59 | 1.90 | 1 310 | 1 720 | 9.74 | 1.57 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| Korea | 90 | 96 | -9.13 | -0.53 | 104 | 106 | 0.18 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| Pakistan | 613 | 731 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 16 | 92 | 37.68 | 10.49 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -3.92 |
| Philippines | 0 | 0 | -29.27 | 1.34 | 37 | 42 | 1.43 | 0.97 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.96 |
| Saudi Arabia | 292 | 432 | 0.69 | 3.00 | 8 627 | 10 126 | 4.02 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Thailand | 167 | 190 | -0.06 | 1.37 | 24 | 15 | -3.25 | -6.57 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1.32 |
| Turkey | 8 102 | 9 708 | -0.46 | 1.55 | 433 | 306 | 16.56 | -5.75 | 9 | 11 | -15.61 | 0.35 |
| Viet Nam | 2 | 2 | 2.86 | 1.58 | 70 | 82 | 11.52 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.12 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 34 445 | 46 250 | 2.47 | 2.88 | 791 | 696 | 0.45 | -0.42 | 2 216 | 2 469 | 11.99 | 3.49 |
| OECD 3 | 155 366 | 154 562 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 8 991 | 9 689 | -3.87 | 0.49 | 30 492 | 32 126 | 4.65 | 2.50 |
| BRICS | 57 683 | 62 967 | -0.89 | 0.99 | 14 548 | 16 850 | 30.60 | 6.32 | 4 623 | 4 429 | 7.08 | 1.68 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |