OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
3.A1.9 | World cotton projections | ||||||||||||
3.A1.9 | World cotton projections | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | Average 2013-15est | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| WORLD | ||||||||||||
| Production | Mt | 24.9 | 23.6 | 23.9 | 24.3 | 24.7 | 25.2 | 25.8 | 26.4 | 27.1 | 27.6 | 28.0 |
| Area | Mha | 32.7 | 31.2 | 31.5 | 31.6 | 31.7 | 32.0 | 32.3 | 32.5 | 32.8 | 32.9 | 33.1 |
| Yield | t/ha | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| Consumption 1 | Mt | 23.9 | 24.7 | 25.2 | 25.5 | 25.9 | 26.2 | 26.6 | 26.9 | 27.4 | 27.8 | 28.3 |
| Exports | Mt | 8.1 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.7 |
| Closing stocks | Mt | 20.2 | 18.8 | 17.5 | 16.3 | 15.1 | 14.1 | 13.3 | 12.8 | 12.5 | 12.2 | 11.8 |
| Price 2 | USD/t | 1 699.1 | 1 280.3 | 1 239.7 | 1 300.6 | 1 344.8 | 1 432.4 | 1 486.4 | 1 528.1 | 1 524.0 | 1 501.6 | 1 479.4 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | ||||||||||||
| Production | Mt | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| Consumption | Mt | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Exports | Mt | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Imports | Mt | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Closing stocks | Mt | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | ||||||||||||
| Production | Mt | 19.5 | 18.3 | 18.6 | 18.8 | 19.1 | 19.6 | 20.0 | 20.5 | 20.9 | 21.3 | 21.6 |
| Consumption | Mt | 22.2 | 22.9 | 23.3 | 23.6 | 24.0 | 24.3 | 24.6 | 25.0 | 25.4 | 25.8 | 26.2 |
| Exports | Mt | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Imports | Mt | 7.6 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 8.1 | 8.3 |
| Closing stocks | Mt | 18.7 | 17.3 | 16.0 | 14.7 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 11.7 | 11.2 | 10.8 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| OECD 3 | ||||||||||||
| Production | Mt | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| Consumption | Mt | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Exports | Mt | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Imports | Mt | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Closing stocks | Mt | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Consumption for cotton means mill consumption and not final consumer demand. | |||||||||||||
Cotlook A index, Middling 1 3/32", c.f.r. far Eastern ports (August/July). | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |