ITF Transport Outlook 2017

image of ITF Transport Outlook 2017

The ITF Transport Outlook provides an overview of recent trends and near-term prospects for the transport sector at a global level, as well as long-term prospects for transport demand to 2050, for freight (maritime, air and surface), passenger transport (car, rail and air) and CO2 emissions. This edition looks at how the main policy, economic and technological changes since 2015, along with other international developments (such as the Sustainable Development Goals), are shaping the future of mobility, and presents alternative policy scenarios for long-term trends in transport demand and CO2 emissions from all transport modes, freight and passenger. A special focus on accessibility in cities also highlights the role of policies in shaping sustainable transport systems that provide equal access to all.




International Transport Forum

The 2017 Edition of the ITF Transport Outlook builds and expands on the previous editions to give a comprehensive overview of the future transport demand and related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions up to 2050. The scenarios in this Outlook are built with the International Transport Forum’s (ITF) in-house modelling tools, developed over the course of several years. Contrary to most transport-energy modelling framework, the ITF models start by analysing transport demand, estimating what are the mobility needs and the freight demand coming from the future population, economic and trade projections (). Mode choice, energy use and CO2 emissions only come at a later stage.


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