ITF Transport Outlook 2015

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The ITF Transport Outlook examines the development of global transport volumes and related CO2 emissions and health impacts through to 2050. It examines factors that can affect supply and demand for transport services and focuses on scenarios illustrating potential upper and lower pathways, discussing their relevance to policy making.

This edition presents an overview of long-run scenarios for the development of global passenger and freight transport volumes, with emphasis on changes in global trade flows and the consequences of rapid urbanisation. It focuses on the characteristics of mobility development in developing countries, from Latin America to Chinese and Indian cities, highlighting the importance of urban mobility policies for the achievement of national and global sustainability goals.



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Reader's guide

International Transport Forum

ITF Transport Outlook presents long run scenarios, up to 2050, on the development of global passenger mobility and freight volumes. The scenario outcomes are based on several models, which look at freight transport demand, differentiating between surface freight (road and rail) and passenger transport, both urban and inter-urban. In each case, the outputs are vehicle-kilometres or tonne-kilometres, and are translated into CO2 emissions by applying transport technology paths built by the International Energy Agency (IEA). In the urban case, local pollutants and health impacts are also computed, using the methodology developed by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT).

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