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ITF Transport Outlook 2015

image of ITF Transport Outlook 2015

The ITF Transport Outlook examines the development of global transport volumes and related CO2 emissions and health impacts through to 2050. It examines factors that can affect supply and demand for transport services and focuses on scenarios illustrating potential upper and lower pathways, discussing their relevance to policy making.

This edition presents an overview of long-run scenarios for the development of global passenger and freight transport volumes, with emphasis on changes in global trade flows and the consequences of rapid urbanisation. It focuses on the characteristics of mobility development in developing countries, from Latin America to Chinese and Indian cities, highlighting the importance of urban mobility policies for the achievement of national and global sustainability goals.

 

 

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Near-term outlook for the economy, trade and transport

International Transport Forum

This chapter reviews recent trends in economic development, trade and transport. It establishes the link between growth and transport demand based on historical data on GDP, trade, and global transport. Together with near-term economic projections, this chapter outlines the expected freight and passenger transport in the near-term. It discusses the shift of economic mass to emerging economies and provides evidence of some rebalancing of trade and transport flows. The chapter also reviews trends in car use in high-income economies and highlights rising uncertainty over future mobility choices.

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