ITF Transport Outlook 2013

Funding Transport

image of ITF Transport Outlook 2013

The ITF Transport Outlook 2013 presents and discusses global scenarios concerning the development of transport volumes through 2050. The analysis highlights the impact of alternative economic growth scenarios on passenger and freight flows and the consequences of rapid urbanisation outside the OECD . Under any scenario, transport volumes grow very strongly in non-OECD regions, and curbing negative side-effects (including greenhouse gas emissions, local pollution and congestion) is a major challenge. The Outlook also discusses the challenge of establishing sustainable funding mechanisms for the transport infrastructure, emphasising the need for long run funding strategies in a context of growing global investment demand. The Outlook includes a comprehensive statistical annex.

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Transport demand in the long run

International Transport Forum

This chapter presents an overview of long-run scenarios, up to 2050, on the development of global passenger transport and freight volumes. The transport scenarios are translated into CO2 emission scenarios by applying different transport technology paths. The chapter also introduces a Latin America urban transport case study that explores specific characteristics of mobility development in developing countries. The urban model analyses the impact of land use, infrastructure and fuel pricing policy on the development of urban mobility in Latin America, improving the evidence base for scenario analysis. Finally, the chapter presents regional implications of different development paths for passenger and freight transport and CO2 emissions.

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