OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027 - © OECD 2018
A.12.2 | World trade projections, exports | ||||||||||||
A.12.2 | World trade projections, exports | ||||||||||||
| | | Average 2015-17est | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
| Wheat | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 100 275 | 99 833 | 102 185 | 103 717 | 104 552 | 105 629 | 106 280 | 106 933 | 107 632 | 108 387 | 109 203 |
| Developing countries | kt | 22 547 | 21 597 | 21 763 | 22 288 | 22 594 | 22 858 | 23 158 | 23 479 | 23 789 | 24 104 | 24 450 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 107 | 83 | 80 | 79 | 77 | 76 | 74 | 73 | 72 | 70 | 69 |
| Maize | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 58 088 | 51 076 | 52 344 | 54 542 | 55 716 | 55 553 | 56 093 | 57 198 | 57 936 | 58 758 | 58 946 |
| Developing countries | kt | 54 614 | 58 327 | 59 184 | 59 580 | 60 882 | 62 175 | 63 061 | 63 555 | 64 350 | 65 718 | 67 590 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 2 756 | 2 741 | 2 818 | 2 851 | 2 956 | 3 028 | 3 084 | 3 145 | 3 198 | 3 270 | 3 360 |
| Other coarse grains | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 29 448 | 26 281 | 26 189 | 26 787 | 27 252 | 27 467 | 27 849 | 28 307 | 28 690 | 29 058 | 29 337 |
| Developing countries | kt | 6 276 | 5 044 | 5 320 | 5 743 | 6 298 | 6 856 | 7 090 | 7 280 | 7 521 | 7 838 | 8 187 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 801 | 909 | 854 | 800 | 745 | 694 | 642 | 593 | 546 | 502 | 463 |
| Rice | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 4 139 | 4 371 | 4 551 | 4 534 | 4 584 | 4 643 | 4 759 | 4 822 | 4 890 | 4 960 | 4 972 |
| Developing countries | kt | 40 877 | 40 203 | 40 911 | 41 940 | 42 909 | 43 882 | 44 837 | 45 901 | 46 996 | 48 103 | 49 277 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 4 111 | 5 202 | 5 161 | 5 292 | 5 310 | 5 310 | 5 352 | 5 443 | 5 556 | 5 665 | 5 771 |
| Soybean | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 60 580 | 66 262 | 66 070 | 66 496 | 67 781 | 68 262 | 68 866 | 69 676 | 70 135 | 70 591 | 71 116 |
| Developing countries | kt | 83 011 | 85 679 | 87 902 | 90 084 | 91 474 | 92 924 | 94 085 | 94 846 | 96 310 | 97 571 | 98 944 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Other oilseeds | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 14 764 | 15 974 | 16 097 | 16 221 | 16 354 | 16 428 | 16 505 | 16 581 | 16 662 | 16 737 | 16 854 |
| Developing countries | kt | 2 845 | 2 594 | 2 592 | 2 629 | 2 674 | 2 690 | 2 703 | 2 705 | 2 717 | 2 731 | 2 750 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 85 | 115 | 104 | 105 | 103 | 101 | 98 | 96 | 95 | 92 | 91 |
| Protein Meals | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 17 156 | 18 095 | 18 004 | 18 182 | 18 035 | 18 045 | 18 553 | 18 840 | 19 412 | 19 940 | 20 407 |
| Developing countries | kt | 64 075 | 65 423 | 66 296 | 66 683 | 67 797 | 68 982 | 69 563 | 70 747 | 71 546 | 72 328 | 72 962 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 219 | 192 | 171 | 162 | 145 | 133 | 122 | 113 | 106 | 98 | 93 |
| Vegetable Oils | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 7 296 | 7 631 | 7 806 | 7 899 | 7 804 | 7 929 | 8 097 | 8 259 | 8 398 | 8 592 | 8 757 |
| Developing countries | kt | 61 941 | 65 982 | 67 666 | 69 147 | 70 550 | 71 626 | 72 662 | 73 749 | 74 658 | 75 601 | 76 465 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 409 | 409 | 389 | 372 | 357 | 343 | 331 | 320 | 309 | 298 | 287 |
| Sugar | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 7 684 | 8 837 | 8 948 | 9 083 | 8 948 | 9 008 | 8 950 | 9 010 | 9 102 | 9 215 | 9 345 |
| Developing countries | kt | 53 210 | 49 834 | 50 467 | 51 120 | 52 580 | 53 179 | 53 950 | 54 682 | 55 399 | 56 255 | 57 125 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 2 603 | 1 555 | 1 802 | 1 756 | 1 668 | 1 606 | 1 546 | 1 469 | 1 404 | 1 352 | 1 300 |
| Beef 2 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 4 286 | 4 442 | 4 394 | 4 428 | 4 511 | 4 598 | 4 667 | 4 705 | 4 748 | 4 782 | 4 810 |
| Developing countries | kt | 4 730 | 5 157 | 5 318 | 5 430 | 5 503 | 5 581 | 5 672 | 5 788 | 5 876 | 5 973 | 6 059 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pigmeat 2 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 6 572 | 6 671 | 6 584 | 6 598 | 6 653 | 6 706 | 6 756 | 6 838 | 6 928 | 7 029 | 7 096 |
| Developing countries | kt | 1 153 | 1 187 | 1 209 | 1 236 | 1 241 | 1 235 | 1 220 | 1 211 | 1 225 | 1 235 | 1 241 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Poultry meat | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 5 515 | 5 755 | 6 055 | 6 164 | 6 244 | 6 347 | 6 463 | 6 584 | 6 728 | 6 865 | 7 006 |
| Developing countries | kt | 6 905 | 7 225 | 7 419 | 7 607 | 7 735 | 7 873 | 8 022 | 8 177 | 8 315 | 8 458 | 8 604 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| Sheep meat 2 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 969 | 977 | 998 | 1 020 | 1 053 | 1 084 | 1 090 | 1 098 | 1 106 | 1 113 | 1 121 |
| Developing countries | kt | 84 | 80 | 76 | 73 | 67 | 63 | 64 | 65 | 66 | 67 | 69 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Butter | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 738 | 733 | 745 | 765 | 780 | 786 | 803 | 820 | 836 | 847 | 864 |
| Developing countries | kt | 84 | 82 | 83 | 83 | 84 | 87 | 88 | 90 | 91 | 93 | 95 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Cheese | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 1 749 | 1 866 | 1 915 | 1 951 | 1 998 | 2 042 | 2 089 | 2 139 | 2 193 | 2 245 | 2 300 |
| Developing countries | kt | 486 | 530 | 520 | 521 | 513 | 510 | 506 | 503 | 498 | 494 | 490 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Whole milk powder | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 1 834 | 1 805 | 1 820 | 1 836 | 1 861 | 1 879 | 1 905 | 1 933 | 1 959 | 1 983 | 2 003 |
| Developing countries | kt | 605 | 585 | 593 | 601 | 608 | 617 | 623 | 628 | 635 | 637 | 648 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Skim milk powder | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 1 992 | 2 168 | 2 176 | 2 209 | 2 251 | 2 283 | 2 324 | 2 369 | 2 415 | 2 454 | 2 497 |
| Developing countries | kt | 237 | 286 | 294 | 293 | 292 | 293 | 293 | 292 | 292 | 292 | 292 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Fish 3 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 11 482 | 11 799 | 12 162 | 12 533 | 12 792 | 12 966 | 13 288 | 13 470 | 13 811 | 13 894 | 14 316 |
| Developing countries | kt | 25 723 | 25 822 | 25 883 | 26 173 | 26 427 | 27 338 | 27 512 | 28 243 | 28 454 | 29 126 | 29 502 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 980 | 935 | 959 | 943 | 937 | 897 | 877 | 857 | 842 | 823 | 812 |
| Fishmeal 4 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 788 | 892 | 891 | 900 | 994 | 911 | 918 | 928 | 965 | 1 020 | 973 |
| Developing countries | kt | 1 889 | 1 766 | 1 793 | 1 846 | 1 810 | 1 862 | 1 836 | 1 901 | 1 930 | 1 800 | 1 932 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 38 | 32 | 35 | 38 | 43 | 45 | 48 | 50 | 53 | 57 | 58 |
| Fish oil 4 | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 380 | 360 | 371 | 377 | 393 | 374 | 382 | 384 | 390 | 404 | 394 |
| Developing countries | kt | 390 | 352 | 365 | 371 | 400 | 358 | 367 | 391 | 398 | 415 | 389 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Ethanol | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 5 366 | 5 117 | 5 184 | 5 288 | 5 175 | 5 104 | 5 057 | 4 973 | 4 944 | 4 943 | 4 943 |
| Developing countries | kt | 3 357 | 3 688 | 3 730 | 3 789 | 3 871 | 3 991 | 4 114 | 4 232 | 4 203 | 4 164 | 4 100 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 7 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Biodiesel | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 1 240 | 1 140 | 1 232 | 1 260 | 1 236 | 1 236 | 1 236 | 1 235 | 1 235 | 1 232 | 1 224 |
| Developing countries | kt | 2 383 | 3 000 | 2 655 | 2 212 | 2 117 | 2 077 | 2 028 | 1 977 | 1 976 | 1 931 | 1 944 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cotton | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 3 874 | 4 263 | 4 345 | 4 434 | 4 513 | 4 594 | 4 628 | 4 665 | 4 705 | 4 758 | 4 817 |
| Developing countries | kt | 3 342 | 3 409 | 3 452 | 3 496 | 3 560 | 3 633 | 3 710 | 3 780 | 3 852 | 3 924 | 3 996 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 888 | 1 080 | 1 103 | 1 126 | 1 145 | 1 168 | 1 197 | 1 228 | 1 261 | 1 293 | 1 323 |
| Roots and tubers | ||||||||||||
| OECD 1 | kt | 1 313 | 1 221 | 1 218 | 1 287 | 1 311 | 1 339 | 1 359 | 1 391 | 1 425 | 1 469 | 1 503 |
| Developing countries | kt | 10 422 | 10 797 | 11 032 | 11 111 | 11 229 | 11 375 | 11 539 | 11 687 | 11 841 | 11 968 | 12 128 |
| Least Developed Countries | kt | 121 | 119 | 113 | 112 | 116 | 117 | 117 | 114 | 113 | 111 | 109 |
Note: Average 2015-17est: Data for 2017 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Excludes trade of live animals. | |||||||||||||
Data are in live weight equivalent and refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption. | |||||||||||||
Data are in product weight. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2018), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |