OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.4.1 | Wheat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.4.1 | Wheat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 720 289 | 791 311 | 1.89 | 0.99 | 155 598 | 174 482 | 3.98 | 1.50 | 157 791 | 174 482 | 4.23 | 1.50 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 381 481 | 403 315 | 1.90 | 0.78 | 30 246 | 31 088 | 3.06 | 0.94 | 139 318 | 153 840 | 4.66 | 1.45 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 87 879 | 91 592 | 1.02 | 0.92 | 4 087 | 4 519 | 2.35 | 3.58 | 47 625 | 50 771 | 0.13 | 1.32 |
| Canada | 31 515 | 33 474 | 3.03 | 1.50 | 77 | 50 | 15.04 | -1.42 | 21 951 | 22 908 | 2.92 | 1.63 |
| United States | 56 364 | 58 118 | 0.08 | 0.60 | 4 010 | 4 469 | 2.19 | 3.65 | 25 674 | 27 863 | -1.77 | 1.08 |
| EUROPE | 240 065 | 252 746 | 2.01 | 0.72 | 9 843 | 9 584 | 2.28 | 0.45 | 66 844 | 76 276 | 9.84 | 1.89 |
| European Union | 151 047 | 154 580 | 1.88 | 0.31 | 4 750 | 3 795 | -2.62 | -1.21 | 30 926 | 31 773 | 9.38 | 0.66 |
| Russia | 57 201 | 60 322 | 1.05 | 0.45 | 3 075 | 4 094 | 36.10 | 2.94 | 23 093 | 27 065 | 8.09 | 1.29 |
| Ukraine | 24 256 | 29 295 | 5.13 | 3.73 | 5 | 5 | 1.94 | -0.53 | 11 739 | 15 589 | 17.79 | 6.24 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 24 731 | 27 070 | 7.49 | 0.54 | 522 | 573 | 7.24 | 1.29 | 17 387 | 19 954 | 8.71 | 0.80 |
| Australia | 24 317 | 26 567 | 7.62 | 0.52 | 21 | 22 | 15.64 | 0.00 | 17 387 | 19 954 | 8.71 | 0.80 |
| New Zealand | 414 | 504 | 2.01 | 2.02 | 501 | 551 | 7.03 | 1.35 | 0 | 0 | -27.00 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 28 806 | 31 906 | 0.08 | 1.16 | 15 794 | 16 412 | 3.62 | 0.59 | 7 461 | 6 840 | -1.76 | -0.21 |
| Japan | 841 | 897 | 0.22 | 0.46 | 5 845 | 5 676 | 1.57 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Kazakhstan | 13 565 | 14 718 | -1.06 | 0.88 | 232 | 106 | .. | 0.26 | 6 352 | 5 859 | -2.76 | -0.26 |
| South Africa | 1 716 | 1 710 | -2.43 | 1.38 | 1 733 | 1 840 | 6.83 | 0.58 | 220 | 143 | -1.75 | 9.69 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 338 808 | 387 996 | 1.91 | 1.20 | 125 352 | 143 394 | 4.21 | 1.62 | 18 473 | 20 642 | 2.01 | 1.82 |
| AFRICA | 24 906 | 31 285 | 3.28 | 1.92 | 42 268 | 51 166 | 3.90 | 2.02 | 994 | 769 | -1.85 | -2.06 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 19 453 | 23 878 | 2.93 | 1.56 | 25 899 | 28 809 | 4.32 | 1.42 | 173 | 155 | -9.32 | -0.34 |
| Algeria | 2 567 | 2 941 | 1.91 | 2.10 | 7 477 | 9 028 | 4.63 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Egypt | 8 867 | 10 097 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 11 000 | 13 755 | 4.32 | 1.79 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 5 453 | 7 407 | 4.69 | 3.20 | 16 369 | 22 357 | 3.31 | 2.86 | 821 | 614 | 0.76 | -2.45 |
| Ethiopia | 3 957 | 5 549 | 7.08 | 3.49 | 785 | 860 | -4.42 | 0.78 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Ghana | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 323 | 402 | 1.81 | 2.15 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Mozambique | 19 | 27 | 34.32 | 3.38 | 608 | 882 | 6.39 | 3.99 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Nigeria | 70 | 83 | 3.80 | 1.64 | 4 500 | 5 701 | 4.14 | 2.23 | 550 | 474 | 4.12 | -2.18 |
| Tanzania | 127 | 134 | 6.71 | 1.39 | 797 | 1 137 | 2.25 | 4.06 | 97 | 25 | -9.63 | -3.90 |
| Zambia | 262 | 274 | 11.34 | 1.92 | 33 | 137 | -4.59 | 4.94 | 33 | 24 | .. | -4.71 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 23 765 | 31 273 | 0.38 | 2.44 | 22 535 | 24 109 | 1.92 | 0.89 | 8 181 | 13 790 | 0.65 | 4.31 |
| Argentina | 9 161 | 14 818 | -2.94 | 3.49 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 3 383 | 8 513 | -4.96 | 5.97 |
| Brazil | 6 877 | 8 011 | 8.31 | 1.84 | 6 713 | 7 027 | 0.67 | 0.74 | 2 271 | 2 925 | 34.91 | 3.80 |
| Chile | 1 438 | 1 753 | 1.85 | 1.49 | 908 | 833 | -0.36 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Colombia | 13 | 18 | -13.71 | 0.81 | 1 560 | 1 682 | 2.50 | 0.67 | 42 | 46 | 0.00 | -0.67 |
| Mexico | 3 551 | 4 100 | -0.54 | 1.30 | 4 390 | 4 700 | 5.09 | 0.60 | 1 032 | 1 105 | 4.95 | -0.12 |
| Paraguay | 1 026 | 1 006 | 2.07 | 1.33 | 41 | 0 | .. | 0.03 | 500 | 508 | 6.21 | -0.03 |
| Peru | 223 | 270 | 1.94 | 1.54 | 1 820 | 2 143 | 2.77 | 1.83 | 5 | 5 | -11.56 | -0.72 |
| Uruguay | 1 194 | 1 010 | 3.91 | 1.20 | 82 | 32 | 18.75 | -1.65 | 836 | 595 | 23.19 | 1.67 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 290 137 | 325 438 | 1.95 | 1.02 | 60 550 | 68 119 | 5.54 | 1.59 | 9 298 | 6 083 | 3.56 | -1.85 |
| Bangladesh | 1 302 | 1 596 | 7.54 | 1.72 | 3 340 | 4 180 | 5.92 | 2.54 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| China 2 | 126 011 | 133 951 | 1.96 | 0.41 | 3 355 | 3 087 | 42.91 | 5.25 | 284 | 333 | -17.85 | 0.98 |
| India | 91 963 | 102 788 | 3.12 | 1.32 | 209 | 642 | -33.15 | 1.48 | 3 470 | 202 | 155.46 | -18.89 |
| Indonesia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 7 620 | 9 330 | 6.70 | 1.69 | 118 | 125 | 27.79 | -1.66 |
| Iran | 10 468 | 15 210 | -2.93 | 2.19 | 4 941 | 1 639 | 21.57 | -3.42 | 81 | 156 | 3.31 | 0.48 |
| Korea | 25 | 45 | 19.11 | 3.11 | 4 124 | 5 271 | 2.94 | 1.93 | 50 | 53 | -4.28 | 0.61 |
| Malaysia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 1 492 | 1 821 | 4.97 | 1.19 | 104 | 105 | 5.67 | -1.18 |
| Pakistan | 25 224 | 30 650 | 1.91 | 1.84 | 445 | 887 | -6.60 | 15.42 | 567 | 85 | -9.08 | -16.06 |
| Philippines | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 4 367 | 5 617 | 7.25 | 1.46 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Saudi Arabia | 377 | 0 | -30.05 | -0.08 | 3 633 | 4 386 | 52.53 | 1.82 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Thailand | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 2 766 | 3 176 | 13.57 | 0.91 | 13 | 14 | 6.34 | -0.90 |
| Turkey | 21 217 | 25 502 | 1.76 | 1.33 | 4 473 | 3 225 | 9.06 | -1.81 | 3 454 | 4 016 | 7.51 | 1.85 |
| Viet Nam | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 2 214 | 2 726 | 8.46 | 1.40 | 81 | 92 | .. | -1.38 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 13 638 | 16 789 | 4.89 | 2.07 | 17 321 | 23 481 | 3.60 | 2.65 | 165 | 73 | -5.94 | -4.03 |
| OECD 3 | 291 796 | 306 621 | 1.93 | 0.61 | 31 782 | 31 676 | 2.40 | 0.58 | 100 479 | 107 677 | 3.87 | 1.03 |
| BRICS | 283 769 | 306 782 | 2.23 | 0.75 | 15 086 | 16 690 | 3.94 | 1.98 | 29 337 | 30 668 | 9.72 | 1.02 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |