Chapter 4. Kazakhstan’s tax policy
Kazakhstan’s ambition of joining the top 30 most developed countries by 2050 will largely depend on its ability to create an investment-stimulating business environment, putting in place the ingredients necessary for the private sector expansion, including, more importantly than ever, diversification of investment into non-extractive industries. Kazakhstan’s tax regime is one of the key policy instruments that can either encourage or discourage investment. Kazakhstan has been offering generous tax incentives to make the investment climate more attractive. Despite on-going efforts aimed at rationalising investment incentives, the taxation regime remains somewhat complex, the country applying tax reliefs that vary depending on the type of investment, its location or activity. There is uncertainty as to whether they meet their intended objectives. In general, there has been inadequate analysis to assess their effectiveness. Establishing mechanisms to regularly evaluate the costs and benefits of tax incentives would help assess them against their intended policy objectives as well as the associated fiscal cost.
Kazakhstan’s tax framework is another policy instrument that can either encourage or discourage investment. It also an important component of the Declaration on International Investment, which includes the Instrument on International Investment Incentives and Disincentives. The latter encourages Adherents to ensure that incentives as well as disincentives are as transparent as possible so that their scale and purpose may be easily determined. The Instrument also provides for consultations and review procedures among Adherents to facilitate international co-operation in this area. Kazakhstan has constantly improved its tax framework and the country now relies on a well-developed system that has been adjusted over time depending on specific economic and social circumstances. To attract investors, the country has offered tax and other non-tax incentives to make the FDI climate more attractive. While the merits of tax investment incentives will depend upon the specific objectives of the incentives, the type and mix of incentives provided and the design of the incentives, there is a danger that the benefits of such incentives are likely to be limited, and could contribute to a harmful ‘race to the bottom’ among countries competing to attract investors. This is especially the case where tax investment incentives have been introduced without a comprehensive assessment of their costs and benefits. Most recent reforms have seen efforts by the authorities to rationalise their investment tax incentives.
Kazakhstan’s tax framework
The taxation regime in Kazakhstan is regulated by the Tax Code, which is relatively new (having been rewritten in 2009). Kazakhstan was the first of the CIS countries to adopt a comprehensive Tax Code in 1995. The 1995 Tax Code combined all existing legal framework for taxation except for customs duties, contributions for social insurance, and state duties. There were almost 50 different taxes before the tax reform and only about a dozen after the reform (Witt and McLure, 2001). The 1995 Code provided the basis of a modern tax system in Kazakhstan.
Since then, the tax system has changed several times, dynamically responding to the changing priorities of the government. One set of substantive changes was introduced through the adoption of the new Tax Code in December 2008.1 Designed during the era of elevated commodity and oil prices, the Code aimed at diversifying the economy away from the natural resource extraction. To achieve this, the Code of 2008 attempted to shift the tax burden to the Subsurface users by raising taxes on the sector, while significantly reducing the statutory corporate tax rate and simplifying the tax system outside the subsurface production. At the same time, the Code eliminated subsurface contract stability provisions from many subsurface use contracts.2 Table 4.1 below presents a detailed overview of Kazakhstan’s tax system in effect at the end of 2016, including the taxation of subsurface users.
In recent years, there have been a number of improvements in Kazakhstan’s tax framework. A number of analyses have noted that Kazakhstan’s tax laws are among the most comprehensive of the former Soviet Union states (World Bank Group, 2015). Continuous improvement of the tax institutional framework has also been part of the government’s reform agenda. In August 2014, the Tax and Customs administrations merged to form the new State Revenue Committee (SRC).The World Bank Group (WBG) has been providing technical assistance in respect of the integration of the two fiscal agencies, streamlining the SRC operations, and developing the SRC strategy. As reported by the WBG, good progress has been made by Kazakhstan in improving taxpayer services and reducing the burden of taxpayer compliance.
Firms have nevertheless complained about an overly bureaucratized attitude of tax officials toward businesses, where repetitive tax inspections and varied interpretations of rules are sometimes common place. In the course of the discussions the OECD Secretariat had with Kazakhstan’s tax authorities, tax officials recognized that one of their main areas of concern was indeed the “differences in interpretations of legal provisions between taxpayers and the administration”. In this regard, the government has a major role to play in developing guidance targeting both tax officials and investors. It is important for the tax regulations to be clearly and objectively defined and explained in order to ease compliance and to decrease unnecessary disputes between taxpayers and tax authorities. Overly complex or unpredictable rules, ambiguous criteria that leave room to subjective interpretation introduce opportunity for rent seeking on the part of investors and invite corrupt behaviour on the part of public officials. Transparent, uniform, rule-based systems, with a uniform approach and interpretation of the tax provisions, allow investors to have a clearer understanding of the tax environment they would be investing in and give them far less to fear from the lack of a level playing field.
Tax investment incentives
Empirical evidence finds that taxes matter for investment (OECD, 2015), although the efficacy of tax investment incentives will depend upon the specific objectives of the incentives, the type and mix of incentives provided and the design of the incentives. There is also some evidence to suggest that tax incentives are likely to be more effective as a country becomes more economically developed, however, this may simply reflect the fact that more developed countries are also likely to demonstrate many of the other attributes that contribute to an attractive investment environment. Since the provision of tax incentives involves government foregoing revenue, the benefits of associated with tax incentives need to be weighed against the costs, including their revenue costs.
Tax incentives have been routinely used by Kazakhstan to attract investment in general, and foreign direct investment in particular. Tax incentives have been seen by the authorities as a way to attract investment into non-oil sectors, aiming primarily at the economic diversification away from subsurface production. With mineral prices continuously depressed, the Kazakh authorities decided in 2014 to introduce a new package of incentives aimed at attracting foreign investment into the non-oil sector, to give another boost to the economic diversification of the country. As a result, Kazakhstan’s tax system remains characterised by many exemptions, particularly in the area of corporate income tax (CIT) and VAT. This incentives regime, which currently includes common incentives, available to all taxpayers, and a separate set of measures targeted at investment into government-identified priority sectors and Special Economic Zones (SEZs), is summarized in Table 4.2 below.
In December 2016 available incentives included:
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General/common tax incentives, available to all investors, including:
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Exemptions from customs duties on imported equipment and parts
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State in-kind grants
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Investment allowances for industrial facilities and their subsequent reconstruction and upgrade.
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Targeted incentives for priority investment projects into activities established by Decree No. 874 of the President,3 including:
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Tax incentives
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Tax holidays for 10 years
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Exemptions from land tax for 10 years
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Exemptions from property tax for 8 years
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Investment subsidies of 30% of actual expense for installation and construction works, and equipment acquisition
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Special tax regime for agricultural sector: income taxes, value added tax, social tax, property tax, and vehicle tax are reduced by 70% for producers of agricultural products.
The government is well aware of the importance of non-fiscal measures in the overall investment-attractiveness of the country and the ultimate success of the diversification efforts. Several non-fiscal measures have been adopted, including visa-free entrance for citizens of 19 countries in 2016, exemption from quota and work permit requirements for foreign individuals in entities holding an investment contract for the implementation of priority investment projects, exemption from local market tests for employers to hire foreign employees to work in SEZs. Additional measures, as discussed in Chapter 5, include state support to different types of firms and activities which may, for instance, involve financial and in-kind support.
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Non-tax incentives
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exemption from quota and work permit requirements for foreign individuals of entities holding an investment contract, as well as some of their contractors and subcontractors
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a stability regime to apply in the event of changes in tax legislation
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application of the “single window” principle, under which one competent authority – the Investment Committee of the Ministry for Investments and Development – provides the bulk of services, limiting the investor contact other state authorities and reducing the number of documents to be submitted.
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Investment incentives are also available to businesses locating in Special Economic Zones (SEZs), in which they enjoy exemptions from corporate income tax, land and property tax, and zero-rated VAT on goods fully consumed during realization of SEZ activities. The first law creating SEZs was adopted in January 1996 to accelerate the country’s economic development and its integration into the world economy by attracting investment and encouraging export-oriented production. Since then the legal framework has changed several times, responding to the changing priorities of the government. The SEZs are now primarily governed by the Law “On Special Economic Zones in the Republic of Kazakhstan” No. 469-IV of 21 July 2011. In 2016, Kazakhstan had 10 SEZs. The existing SEZs can be broadly subdivided into three categories: industrial and manufacturing (e.g. “Astana-New city”, “National Industrial Petrochemical Park” in Atyrau region; “Ontustik” in Sairam district of South-Kazakhstan region; development of the chemical and petrochemical industries in the Pavlodar region); service (e.g. “Burabay” in Akmola region), and technical innovation (e.g. “Informational Technical Park” in Almaty).
The investor’s response to such a generous set of tax incentives is yet to be evaluated. FDI inflow data, as reported by the National Bank of Kazakhstan (see Figure 4.1), shows the share of FDI flows into mining and mining-related activities at 60% in 2014. The figure bodes well if contrasted against a decade-old composition of FDI flows. The concentration of FDI into the subsoil production was heavier in 2005, with 77% of total FDI going into mining and mining-related operation. However, when the comparison is made with 2012 performance, the picture is less reassuring; FDI inflows in 2012 were more balanced, with more than half of FDI flowing into the non-mining industries. Against the backdrop of considerable volatility in the commodity price cycle through this period and in the absence of any comprehensive evaluation of the effectiveness of Kazakhstan’s tax incentives it is difficult to draw any firm conclusions on the relationship between these tax incentives and recent levels of FDI investment in Kazakhstan.

Source: National Bank of Kazakhstan, www.nationalbank.kz/?docid=469&switch=english, accessed December 2015.
Evaluation of the costs and benefits of tax investment incentives
Tax incentives can create inefficiencies and generate distortions in the allocation of resources between different types of taxpayers, different sectors or industries and different types of businesses in favour of those receiving preferred tax treatment. A large and complex array of incentives can add to the complexity of the tax system and can make it harder to comply with and administer the tax system. In addition, in the area of specific investment projects, exemptions may be provided in a non-transparent and discriminatory manner. Another concern over the use of tax investment incentives is the resulting forgone revenue. In 2012, the OECD recommended that Kazakhstan ensure that investment incentives, including in Special Economic Zones, are cost effective. The OECD called for a review by Kazakhstan of the existing investment schemes in light of the OECD Instrument on Incentives and Disincentives as part of the Declaration on International Investment and Multinational Enterprises, which recommends making investment incentives as transparent as possible so that their scale and purpose can be easily determined.
In 2013, in response to the OECD’s recommendation, the Ministry of Finance conducted an assessment of tax expenditures – revenue foregone – attributable to preferential tax treatment of taxpayers. The analysis showed that, based on the 2011 data, tax expenditures amounted to about 2% of GDP. In Kazakhstan, little analysis has nevertheless been conducted to understand the direct and indirect costs associated with the tax incentives. Nor has the effectiveness or cost-efficiency of existing tax incentive programmes in meeting their intended objectives – stimulating investment and driving it towards priority sectors – been properly assessed. Only limited data have been collected on the direct and social benefits to the economy generated by incentives-enticed investment. In the absence of any such analysis, it is difficult to conclude whether these tax incentives have been effective and efficient in attracting additional investment and any associated positive spillovers through technology and knowledge transfer. Cost benefit analysis is a key component of effective incentive administration. Box 4.1 presents core elements of costs and benefits of tax incentives that need to be analysed.
When conducting cost-benefit analysis of tax incentives the following components of costs and benefits need to be included in the analysis.
Costs of a tax incentive programme include:
Primary revenue forgone due to tax incentives. The revenue losses associated with the tax incentives could represent a large revenue drain; this foregone revenue needs to be calculated and reported regularly. Estimates of revenues forgone due to tax incentives provide policy makers with the required inputs to inform policy decisions.
Tax planning opportunities. Tax incentives and preferential tax treatments give rise to unintended and unforeseen tax-planning opportunities. The effective tax rate differentials formed by tax incentives open up opportunities to shift taxable profits and deductions across entities with different tax treatments either domestically or internationally, resulting in significant revenue leakages.
Redundancy. The rationale behind tax incentives – to encourage new and additional investment – means that incentives need to be targeted effectively to avoid redundancy. If tax incentives are provided to taxpayers in relation to investments that would have otherwise occurred in the absence of the incentives, then the tax preference provided will provide the investing taxpayer with a windfall gain. Effective tax design can limit redundancy by better targeting incentives to new and additional investment, however, this can also lead to greater complexity and the associated increase in compliance and administrative costs for taxpayers and tax administrations.
Taxpayer compliance costs. Tax incentives impose significant compliance costs on taxpayers in understanding and complying with the tax rules and regulations. Time and money spent by businesses to qualify for and receive tax incentives, as well as to lobby the government for incentives, represent significant indirect costs.
Economic efficiency costs. Providing incentives for certain types of investments is likely to have efficiency costs and distort resource allocation. There is a risk that there will be inefficiently high investment in incentivised activities and inefficiently low investment in others. Incentivised firms are likely to enjoy an artificial competitive advantage, which may also lead to distortions in other markets such as the labour market, where incentivised firms are likely to be able to attract workers from non-incentivised firms by offering higher wages. These distortions are likely to lead to a less efficient allocation of resources.
Administrative costs. The indirect costs of tax incentives, including the administrative costs of running them, could be quite substantial; technical personnel need to be hired or (re)trained to ensure compliance with the rules, additional data and information management systems need to be introduced or adjusted. There is also an additional cost of staff and materials required to administer requests for information and auditing of tax accounts to determine if investors are compliant with tax incentives definitions.
Benefits of a tax incentives programme include:
Direct impact and revenue. By reducing the tax burden, tax incentives increase the after-tax return of an investment. That, arguably, encourages additional investment, which may translate into more jobs, higher returns to capital owners and potentially more investment. Greater investment and economic growth results in additional direct tax revenue.
Indirect and induced impact. Through employment and linkages effects, the incentivised investment also generates other income opportunities and corresponding indirect revenue gains. Indirect effects arise from inter-industry transactions, while induced effects are due to changes in income, from spending on local goods and services.
Positive spillover effects, international integration. FDI attracted to the country could generate positive externalities – “spillovers” – for the host economy. Investment can act as a trigger for technology and know-how transfers, but also bring in the “entire package”, i.e. needed management experience, entrepreneurial abilities, marketing and sales experience, which can be transferred to the host country by training programmes and learning-by-doing.
Social/environmental benefits. It is often argued that tax incentives can correct for market imperfections. Where the social rate of return on the investment is higher than the private rate of return (e.g. investments into R&D, green technologies or renewable energy), tax incentives could be justified as an instrument to improve the return on the private investment and correct the instances of market imperfections. The benefits of the incentivised investment to the larger society need to be counted in.
Fiscal incentives granted in the framework of SEZs are a case in point. Despite the effective business facilitation and support measures that can be found in the SEZs in Kazakhstan as assessed in the next chapter of the present Review, tax incentives remain a key element of the strategy to attract investors. International experience has shown that while successful zones provide quality infrastructure and a good environment for doing business, they do not always require highly generous fiscal incentives. According to a survey of zone investors in ten countries in 2009, levels of corporate taxation ranked fifth among their concerns, behind cost/quality of utilities, access to transport infrastructure, regulatory environment for business and trade facilitation (Farole, 2011). For example, Charitar and Narrainen (2009) point to the success of the Shenzhen High-Tech Industrial Park, which attracted some 2 000 firms while offering only very limited fiscal benefits.
The lower oil prices combined with the slower growth in China and the economic contraction in Russia have affected Kazakhstan’s export revenues, mounting fiscal pressures and weakening macro-economic fundamentals of the country. Elimination of some tax incentives, designed and introduced at the times of upward-sloping oil prices, could provide a relief to fiscal pressures. However the revenue generation priority of the government needs to be considered alongside its investment attraction strategy, in a “whole-of-government” manner, to ensure consistency between the country’s tax policy and its broader national and sub-national development objectives. Only a thorough analysis of tax-related policies can reveal the effectiveness of the policy measures that the government is implementing to stimulate investment. It is therefore important for the Ministry of Finance to build its human and institutional capacity to conduct cost-benefit analyses, performance diagnostics of tax policies, and tax policy simulation analyses, in order to support informed government decision-making.
Effective tax rates
With non-uniform treatment of business profits, the Kazakh tax policy-makers need to fully understand the likely effect of the diversity of tax regimes on the capital investment decisions of the investors.
When considering capital investment options, investors can be expected to analyse the entire tax landscape of the country. Their first point of reference is the statutory tax rates that serve as an important signal function. The assessment does not end there though. Analysis of the country’s effective tax rates allows capturing into a single measure the complex tax landscape of Kazakhstan, including the statutory tax rate, the impact of tax holidays, depreciation allowances and other tax incentives. Effective tax rates further combine investment-related factors, such as the expected rate of business profitability, or the type of assets invested in. The measures express the tax liability as a share of the present value of all financial profits expected from a capital investment. Effective tax rate analysis sheds light on the implications of tax parameters – including targeted tax incentives – on investment returns and helps understanding the implications of implemented (or proposed) tax policy measures on expected investment outcomes.
Two forward-looking effective tax rate indicators are commonly used. The average effective tax rate (AETR) measures the difference in the before- and after-tax net present value of a profitable real investment project. The AETR is relevant in a context where a firm needs to decide among a set of mutually exclusive projects. This is the typical decision faced by a multinational choosing to locate investment in one of the OECD countries. In other words, the AETR affects inbound FDI. The marginal effective tax rate (METR) is the tax component of the user cost of capital and identifies the percentage rise in the cost of capital for an investment project due to taxation. Conditional on locating in that particular country, it affects the scale of investment: a higher cost of capital is associated with lower investment. Like the AETR, the METR depends on both the statutory tax rate and the definition of the tax base, however, the tax base will generally play a relatively more significant role in the determination of the METR and this largely accounts for the difference in the two measures.
To analyse the divergence of tax burden on capital in Kazakhstan, analysis of effective tax rates of various business segments were conducted. Six representative tax regimes were analysed, as follows:
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Regime 1: A project is granted a tax holiday for 10 years; a standard corporate tax rate of 20% is applied thereafter. This regime applies to investment into special economic zones and/or one of the 14 priority sectors.
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Regime 2: A project is granted a reduced tax rate of 6% for the life of the project. This regime is applicable to producers of agricultural products, aquacultural (fishery) products, and for rural consumer co-operatives who enjoy a 70% reduction of the standard corporate tax rate.
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Regime 3: A standard corporate tax rate of 20% for the life of the project.
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Regime 4: A standard corporate tax rate of 20% for the life of the project, as well as full deduction for the capital asset, taken at once within one tax period.
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Regime 5: A standard corporate tax rate of 20%. In addition, a branch profit tax, reduced to 5% under a tax treaty, applicable to after-tax profit of a foreign company with a permanent establishment in Kazakhstan, resulting in a tax rate of 24%.
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Regime 6: A standard corporate tax rate of 20%. In addition, a branch profit tax of 15%, applicable to after-tax profit of a foreign company with a permanent establishment in Kazakhstan, resulting in a tax rate of 32%.
Annex 4.A1 discusses in details the modelling process, as well as underlying data. The table below only presents the results. Table 4.3 shows AETR and METR calculated for investment under each of the six tax regimes discussed above to allow for cross-comparison. Two classes of assets are considered: 1) machinery and equipment or 2) industrial buildings. The assumptions, discussed in detail in Annex 4.A1, are used uniformly across all scenarios to ensure that the differences in effective tax rates are attributable only to the changes in tax variables.
A quick glance at the effective tax rates calculated under various tax scenarios (Table 4.3 above) reveals considerable variation of the tax burden on capital investment across the segments of business investors in Kazakhstan. The results are easier to observe when shown against the statutory tax rate, as seen in graphics 4.2 and 4.3, where the size of dotted lines represents the difference between the statutory and effective tax rates for each tax regime under consideration. The difference between the highest and lowest AETR is as high as 24.31 percentage points for the investment in machinery and equipment financed by retained earnings. The same difference in METRs is 23.88 percentage points. These differences are substantial.


Notes: Investment financed by retained earnings. Assumptions: profit rate – 20%; inflation – 3.5%; real rate of interest – 10%, true economic depreciation – 12.25% for machinery and 3.25% for buildings. Personal taxes are excluded.
Source: OECD.
While the effect of significantly lower effective tax rates on targeted investment in Kazakhstan is yet to be studied, the differences in effective rates between various tax regimes open up opportunities to shift activities across entities with different tax treatments either domestically or internationally. This adds further pressure on tax revenues, representing a substantial point of concern for Kazakhstan’s authorities.
To show the effect of tax holidays on effective tax rates, the evolution of effective tax rates over the course of tax holidays is studied. graphic 4.4 shows the development of effective tax rates for investment into machinery and buildings, financed by retained earnings. The effect of tax holidays is easily observable; a large one-off investment will benefit the most from the tax holiday regime. However, an additional or repeated investment that could be necessary, for example, for capital replacement, will benefit less as tax holidays become exhausted and the effective rates increase over time. The analysis confirms a well-known argument – tax holidays are most attractive for footloose industries. Short-term investments are likely to benefit from tax holidays compared to longer-term investments. Since tax holidays benefit the industries that start making profits during the holiday period a favourable tax bias exists for short-term projects and short-term assets.
graphic 4.5 offers an interesting insight into the importance of macroeconomic fundamentals. Marginal and average effective tax rates are studied under different inflation rate assumptions. Effective rates under inflation rates of 3.5 (solid lines) are 8.5 (dotted lines) are analysed. A higher inflation rate, more realistic in Kazakhstan’s setting, clearly offers a discouraging investment environment, as both marginal and average tax rates are higher under the inflation rate of 8.5. This highlights, once again, the critical importance of macroeconomic factors in business attractiveness of the country.

Source: Author’s calculations.

Source: Author’s calculations.
Making the tax system more efficient
For the purpose of enhancing the efficiency of the country’s tax system, the government decided at the end of 2015 to scale back or remove some exemptions as part of its plan aimed at consolidating the Tax Code and the Customs Code into one single code. With the same view of making the system more efficient, it also planned to simplify the multi-layered tax regime. Accordingly, a number of amendments are expected to be introduced to the tax part of the new Code, which would become effective in late 2017. In addition to the abolition of tax incentives seen as ineffective or contradicting WTO rules, notably the following tax changes have been announced:4
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The current tax regime would be replaced by a three-layer tax regime as follows: A general tax regime; a special tax regime for individual entrepreneurs based on a patent; and a special tax regime for small and medium-sized enterprises and agricultural enterprises;
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Progressive individual income tax rates would be introduced;
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Measures aimed at simplifying and improving the subsurface-use taxation, the real estate taxation for individuals and the social tax procedure.
In addition, the plan includes amendments to optimize tax and customs duties collection, including improving the tax monitoring of large taxpayers and introducing a common procedure for the enforced collection of unpaid taxes and customs duties.
Policy recommendations
Kazakhstan’s ambition of joining the top 30 most developed countries by 2050 will largely depend on its ability to create an investment-stimulating business environment, putting in place the ingredients necessary for the private sector expansion, including, more importantly than ever, diversification of investment into non-extractive industries.
Kazakhstan’s tax regime is one of the key policy instruments that can either encourage or discourage investment. Like all countries, Kazakhstan faces a trade-off: reducing the tax burden to encourage investment deprives the country of much-needed revenue, in Kazakhstan’s case, putting further pressure on its already weakened fiscal position. Despite the growing recognition by Kazakh authorities of the challenges associated with tax incentives, there is inadequate analysis of their costs and benefits in a national context to support the government’s decision making. Limited data is collected either on the direct and indirect benefits to the economy, or on the cost of these tax incentives, including forgone revenue. With non-uniform treatment of investors and targeted tax relief no assessment is made in favour of and against such treatment, to ensure that the different treatment can be properly justified. Businesses complain about costly compliance, inconsistent application of rulings in practice, the lack of predictability, and excessive discretion in tax-related decision-making.
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Broaden the tax base. Reversing the recent decline in the government receipts is a priority. This can be achieved by streamlining the tax system and eliminating wasteful tax incentives identified through a credible cost-benefit analysis.
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Introduce more systematic tax expenditure analysis and reporting. Regular and consistent tax expenditure analysis is an essential element of good governance. The revenue forgone through tax incentives should be reported regularly, ideally as part of an annual tax expenditure report covering all main tax incentives.
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Collect better tax revenue data, as a follow-up to, and in the framework of the OECD Revenue Statistics Project.5 The analysis of tax incentives required for public statements, budgeting, periodic reviews, tracking of behavioural responses by business, etc. is data intensive. Revenue authorities need to periodically collect and analyse taxpayer data. This may require them to introduce institutional mechanisms to do so.
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Strengthen policy analysis capacity. To support coherent and comprehensive government decision-making, the Ministry of Finance needs the capacity to analyse and explain tax reforms’ impacts to decision makers and the public. Both, the human and institutional capacity need to be strengthened.
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Eliminate ambiguity in interpretation of legal provisions. Statutory guidance needs to be made available to allow for an unambiguous interpretation of domestic and international tax laws. The inconsistency in application of tax provisions, including between various tax authorities and regions, has to be addressed. This will not only improve predictability and clarity of the business framework but also support stable and consistent tax compliance in the country.
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Strengthen tax administration, including the administration of VAT, to enhance tax compliance and to increase the effectiveness and the efficiency of the combat against tax fraud and non-compliance. The government should notably implement administrative reform to tackle VAT refund-related fraud, which appears to be significant, as part of the implementation of broader tax compliance strategy based on risk management principles. Such reform should aim at minimising the revenue losses from fraud and non-compliance without creating undue costs and complexity for compliant businesses.
References
Ali Abbas, S.M. and A. Klemm with Sukhmani Bedi and Junhyung Park (2012), “A Partial Race to the Bottom: Corporate Tax Developments in Emerging and Developing Economies”, IMF Working Paper No. 12/28.
Botman, D., A. Klemm and R. Baqir (2008), “Investment Incentives and Effective Tax Rates in the Philippines: A Comparison with Neighbouring Countries”, IMF Working Paper No. 08/207.
Deloitte (2013), Doing business in Kazakhstan 2013, Reach, relevance and reliability, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, 2013.
Devereux, M.P. and R. Griffith (1998), “The Taxation of Discrete Investment Choices”, Institute for Fiscal Studies Working Paper Series, No. W98/16.
Devereux, M.P. and R. Griffith (2003), “Evaluating Tax Policy for Location Decisions”, International Tax and Pubic Finance, Vol. 10, pp. 107-126, 2003.
Klemm, A. (2008), “Effective Average Tax Rates For Permanent Investment”, IMF Working Paper No. 08/56.
OECD (2003), Checklist for Foreign Direct Investment Incentive Policies, Paris, www.oecd.org/investment/investment-policy/2506900.pdf.
OECD (2013), Principles to Enhance the Transparency and Governance of Tax Incentives for Investment in Developing Countries, www.oecd.org/ctp/tax-global/transparency-and-governance-principles.pdf.
OECD, IMF, WBG and UN (2015), Options for Low Income Countries’ effective and Efficient Use of Tax Incentives, www.oecd.org/tax/tax-global/options-for-low-income-countries-effective-and-efficient-use-of-tax-incentives-for-investment-call-for-input.pdf.
WBG (2015), World Bank Group, Doing Business 2015, Going Beyond Efficiency, Economy Profile 2015, Kazakhstan.
WBG (2017), World Bank Group, Doing Business 2017, Equal Opportunity for All, Economy Profile 2017, Kazakhstan.
Witt, A.D. and C.E. McLure Jr. (2001), Tax Reform: Creating the Modern System http://enforcement.trade.gov/download/kazakhstan-nme-status/itic/itic-comments-kaz.pdf.
The analysis of effective tax rates is using the Devereux and Griffith model (Devereux and Griffith, 2003), extended by Klemm to permanent establishments (Klemm, 2008). The theoretical discussion of the model, as well as its practical application for policy analysis, have been widely documented,6 and are not repeated here. The discussion below presents only the formulas used in the analysis (without showing the derivation of the formulas) to allow for replication of the results by an interested reader. Economic and tax law data used in the analysis as well as all assumptions made in the course of modelling are presented below.
The calculations are made under the following basic assumptions:
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The hypothetical capital investment is made by profit-making value-maximizing business;
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The business acts in an open economy that takes the world rate of return as given;
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Personal taxes do not affect investment decisions (i.e. analysis is done on the company-level and not on a shareholder-level).
Economic parameters are summarized in Table 4.A1.1 below.
Essential elements of the Kazakh tax system used in the analysis are presented in Table 4.A1.2 below. Corporate tax rates are shown for a single corporate tax regime, applicable, for example, to investment into special economic zones and/or one of the priority sectors. The formulas presented in this Annex are the ones used in modelling of this tax regime.
It is assumed that the investment is financed by retained earnings.
In the model, the AETR is calculated as present discounted value of taxes over the present discounted value of the profit of a project in the absence of taxation. Adopted by Klemm (Klemm, 2008) to permanent investment, rather than one-period perturbation, AETR is defined as:
where R* is discounted value of the economic rent earned in the absence of taxation, R is the same in the presence of taxation, p is the pre-tax profit (net of depreciation), r is the real interest rate, and δ is true economic depreciation.
R* – the economic rent in the absence of taxation – is determined as:
As discussed in Table 4.A1.2 above, we consider an investment project with 2 changes in corporate tax rate over the life of the project. In this case, R is determined as:
where:
is a factor that measures the difference in treatment of new equity and distributions; md is a personal tax on dividends and z the tax on capital gains. Since our analysis is conducted on the company-level and not on a shareholder-level, γ is equal to 1.
is the investor’s discount rate; mi is the personal tax rate on interest and i the nominal interest rate, determined as
. In the absence of personal taxes
.
π is the inflation rate
τ 1 and τ 2 are the corporate tax rates applicable to the investment project under consideration, over the life of the project
Y1 is the duration of validity of corporate tax rate τ 1
A is the present discounted value of depreciation allowances. The calculation of A depends on the depreciation rules (see, for example, Abbas and Klemm (2012), or Botman, Klemm, and Baqir (2008) for relevant formulas). We are only reproducing the formula for depreciation allowances under declining balance method applicable to the investment project under discussion.
F captures the effect of the investment being financed by alternative sources of finance: retained earnings, new equity or debt. Our analysis was limited to the investment financed by retained earnings; F = 0 when the investment is financed by retained earnings.
To calculate METR, R is set to zero and solved for a pre-tax net profit (see, for example, Abbas and Klemm (2012), or Botman, Klemm, and Baqir (2008)).
Marginal effective tax rate is calculated as:
Notes
← 1. This information is provided as a matter of general analysis and should not be relied on with regard to individual treaties. Recourse should be had to the precise treaty text in each case. The dates do not take into consideration the possibility of an agreement by the treaty partners to amend and/or terminate the treaty. The reference date for the calculation is 20 October 2016. The calculation is also approximate due to the different length of months and years.
← 2. Effective 1 January 2009.
← 3. The Tax Code of 2008 abolished the stability of the tax regime for subsurface use contracts other than production sharing agreements (PSA) signed with the government prior to January 2009, contracts which passed the obligatory tax inspection, and contracts signed by the President. All other subsurface users, including those with contracts concluded before 2009, but not stabilized with respect to taxation, are subject to taxation in accordance with the tax law that is in effect at the time when a particular tax liability arises.
← 4. See Table 4.2. for the list of approved “priority activities”.
← 5. “Kazakhstan: Ministry of Justice approves plans to consolidate Tax Code and Customs Code”, EY Tax Insights, 5 May 2016.
← 6. See, for example, Abbas and Klemm (2012), or Botman, Klemm, and Baqir (2008).