OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
| C.8 | World biofuel projections | ||||||||||||
| C.8 | World biofuel projections | ||||||||||||
| Calendar year | |||||||||||||
| | | | Average 2016-18est | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
| | ETHANOL | ||||||||||||
| | World | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 122.5 | 126.3 | 128.5 | 130.6 | 132.4 | 134.2 | 136.0 | 137.7 | 139.5 | 141.3 | 143.1 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 121.9 | 127.3 | 129.3 | 131.0 | 132.7 | 134.4 | 136.2 | 137.9 | 139.7 | 141.4 | 143.2 |
| | Exports | mln L | 10.5 | 11.1 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.4 |
| | Price 1 | USD/hl | 42.6 | 40.9 | 44.5 | 47.1 | 48.7 | 49.4 | 50.7 | 50.7 | 51.3 | 52.0 | 52.6 |
| | Developed countries | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 72.3 | 73.3 | 73.6 | 73.6 | 73.9 | 74.0 | 74.1 | 74.3 | 74.4 | 74.5 | 74.6 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 70.1 | 71.7 | 72.5 | 72.6 | 72.9 | 72.9 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.5 | 73.6 | 73.7 |
| | Net trade | mln L | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| | Developing countries | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 50.1 | 53.0 | 54.9 | 57.0 | 58.6 | 60.2 | 61.8 | 63.4 | 65.1 | 66.8 | 68.5 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 51.7 | 55.6 | 56.8 | 58.5 | 59.8 | 61.5 | 62.9 | 64.5 | 66.1 | 67.8 | 69.5 |
| | Net trade | mln L | -1.7 | -2.1 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.3 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| | OECD 2 | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 71.4 | 72.4 | 72.6 | 72.7 | 72.9 | 73.1 | 73.2 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.5 | 73.6 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 70.2 | 71.7 | 72.5 | 72.6 | 72.9 | 73.0 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.6 | 73.6 | 73.7 |
| | Net trade | mln L | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| | BIODIESEL | ||||||||||||
| | World | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 36.8 | 43.1 | 44.2 | 43.9 | 43.7 | 43.9 | 43.9 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 43.9 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 37.6 | 43.6 | 44.5 | 44.2 | 44.0 | 44.2 | 44.2 | 44.3 | 44.3 | 44.3 | 44.2 |
| | Exports | mln L | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| | Price 3 | USD/hl | 88.4 | 87.3 | 88.4 | 90.4 | 91.3 | 91.2 | 92.7 | 92.6 | 93.2 | 94.1 | 94.7 |
| | Developed countries | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 21.3 | 24.6 | 25.7 | 25.3 | 24.9 | 24.6 | 24.3 | 24.0 | 23.7 | 23.3 | 22.9 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 24.2 | 27.5 | 28.0 | 27.3 | 26.8 | 26.5 | 26.2 | 25.9 | 25.6 | 25.2 | 24.8 |
| | Net trade | mln L | -2.6 | -2.8 | -2.3 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -2.0 |
| | Developing countries | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 15.5 | 18.5 | 18.5 | 18.6 | 18.9 | 19.3 | 19.6 | 19.9 | 20.3 | 20.7 | 21.0 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 13.4 | 16.1 | 16.5 | 16.9 | 17.3 | 17.7 | 18.0 | 18.3 | 18.7 | 19.0 | 19.4 |
| | Net trade | mln L | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| | OECD 2 | ||||||||||||
| | Production | mln L | 22.0 | 25.3 | 26.4 | 25.9 | 25.5 | 25.3 | 24.9 | 24.7 | 24.4 | 24.0 | 23.6 |
| | Consumption | mln L | 24.9 | 28.2 | 28.7 | 27.9 | 27.4 | 27.2 | 26.8 | 26.6 | 26.3 | 25.9 | 25.5 |
| | Net trade | mln L | -2.5 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -2.0 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
| Note: Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. Prices are in nominal terms. | |||||||||||||
| Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Wholesale price, United States, Omaha. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Producer price Germany net of biodiesel tariff and energy tax. | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||