OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook 2020
The OECD Sovereign Borrowing Outlook provides regular updates on trends and developments associated with sovereign borrowing requirements, funding strategies, market infrastructure and debt levels from the perspective of public debt managers. The Outlook makes a policy distinction between funding strategy and borrowing requirements. The central government marketable gross borrowing needs, or requirements, are calculated on the basis of budget deficits and redemptions. The funding strategy entails decisions on how borrowing needs are going to be financed using different instruments and which distribution channels are being used.
This edition reviews developments in response to the COVID-19 pandemic for government borrowing needs, funding conditions and funding strategies in the OECD area, updating 2020 estimates released prior to the outbreak. It examines debt issuance trends for government securities in emerging market and developing economies since 2020, and presents novel insights on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on issuance conditions in these economies. It then discusses how debt management offices can adapt their governance practices to prioritise and deal with the aggravated operational and market risks presented by the COVID-19 crisis.
Executive summary
The pandemic-related surge in government financing needs has resulted in OECD governments raising a record amount of funds from the market. From January to May 2020, governments issued debt securities worth USD 11 trillion – almost 70% higher than average issuance in the same period over the past five years. In addition to financing the COVID-19 rescue and related fiscal stimulus packages, increased precautionary financing and short-term cash needs to smooth out cash flow disruptions contributed to the surge in sovereign issuance during this period.
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