National Risk Assessments

A Cross Country Perspective

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This report provides a synthetic view of national risk assessments (NRAs) in twenty OECD Member countries. NRA are used to support risk management decisions in a rapidly changing global risk landscape characterized by increasingly complex, interconnected societies and highly mobile people, information and goods. The report highlights good governance practices in establishing NRAs and how the results are used to inform public policy. It identifies challenges that OECD Member countries continue to confront in their efforts to implement NRA, and makes concrete recommendations where improvements could still be made.




This chapter outlines the current NRA process for identifying risks in Sweden which is now called the National Risk and Capability Analysis. The purpose being to foster more informed analysis of the major risks that Sweden as a whole, is likely to face. The Swedish Civil Contingency Agency (MSB) is the lead agency in developing the NRA process which began in 2012 and continued up to 2016 with a number of iterations culminating in the 2016 version. This version contains a bottom up approach to risk and vulnerability assessment with a top down co-ordinated approach to risk assessment. This chapter discusses the methodology for hazard identification/analysis and vulnerability, and impact analysis in some detail. The results of the NRA process is widely available therefore there is widespread awareness of the risk profile by Swedish Society.


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