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Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies

image of Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies

This book, based on the proceedings of a conference organised by the OECD and the Bank of England's Centre for Banking Studies,  examines cross-country issues related to the conduct of monetary policy in emerging markets and the role of inflation targeting in improving macroeconomic performance. it includes both cross-country analysis and country-specific case studies.  Countries covered include Brazil, Chile, Colombia, the Czech Republic, Indonesia, Mexico, South Africa and Turkey.

English

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Monetary policy and macroeconomic stability in Latin America: The cases of Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico

This chapter uses co-integration analysis to estimate simultaneously a monetary reaction function and the determinants of expected inflation for Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Mexico in the post-1999 period. It also tests for the presence of volatility spillovers between the monetary stance and inflation expectations based on M-GARCH modelling. The results of the empirical analysis show that: i) there are long-term relationships between the interest rate, expected inflation and the inflation target, suggesting that monetary policy has been conducted in a forward-looking manner and helped anchor inflation expectations in the countries under examination, and ii) greater volatility in the monetary stance leads to higher volatility in expected inflation in Brazil, Colombia and Mexico, suggesting that interest-rate smoothing contributes to reducing inflation expectations volatility. No volatility spillover effect was detected in the case of Chile.

English

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