Higher Education to 2030, Volume 1, Demography
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What is the Impact of Demography on Higher Education Systems? A Forward-looking Approach for OECD Countries
Centre for Educational Research and Innovation
This chapter aims to evaluate the impact of demographic changes on the student population, on student-teacher ratios and expenditure in higher education and on the level to which the populations are educated. It shows that demographic changes are only one of the factors determining student enrolment trends, teaching staff numbers or costs in higher education. It also demonstrates that policy responses to falling student enrolments and rising enrolments in periods of expansion are often similar, albeit for sometimes different reasons. The investigation is based on forward-looking quantitative scenarios that provide a heuristic insight into these changes and their consequences, though without claiming that they can actually be forecast.
Also available in: French
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Click to download PDF - 1.66MBPDF