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2024 OECD Economic Surveys: Mexico 2024

image of OECD Economic Surveys: Mexico 2024

After a slow recovery from the pandemic, the Mexican economy has navigated well the global environment of tightening financial conditions and heightened uncertainty. Fiscal policy has a robust track record in attaining fiscal targets and keeping public debt low. Higher tax revenues would allow to maintain fiscal prudence and to address important spending needs in productivity enhancing areas, such as education, infrastructure, the digital and green transitions, and the fight against corruption and crime. Mexico has large potential to attract investment from companies looking to relocate their operations to North America. This is also a significant opportunity to spread the benefits of trade throughout the country and to create more and better value chain linkages. Fully harnessing these opportunities will require addressing long-standing challenges related to transport and digital connectivity, regulations or the rule of law, and shifting to renewables. Improving education outcomes and reducing gender gaps and informality would help to continue the recent fall in income inequality, while also strengthening the country’s growth potential. Improving access to adequate housing and more coordination across, urban, housing and transport infrastructure policies would enhance Mexicans’ living conditions, reduce urban sprawl and improve urban mobility.

SPECIAL FEATURE: IMPROVING HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT POLICIES

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Macroeconomic developments and policy challenges

Growth has held up well thanks to a resilient domestic demand that is supported by a strong labour market. Inflation is falling but monetary policy will need to remain tight until inflation returns durably to the target. The financial sector has ample buffers and good progress to buttress financial supervision should continue. Fiscal policy has strong credibility thanks to a robust track record in attaining prudent fiscal targets. Raising more revenues would enable to respond to productivity-enhancing spending needs and maintain the commitment with fiscal prudence. Reforms to the fiscal framework would enhance its ability to smooth out economic cycles and provide support during downturns.

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