OECD Economic Surveys: Lithuania 2020
Lithuania’s economy is performing strongly and converging fast towards the most-developed OECD countries, driven by growing exports and investments and supported by a sound macroeconomic framework as well as a friendly business climate. For the first time since renewed independence, more people are settling in the country than leaving it. The peak of the COVID-19 crisis was one of the mildest in Europe, thanks to a well-functioning health system, effective containment measures and a relatively short lockdown. Yet prosperity is unevenly distributed across people and places. Further reform could help sustain achievements to date. Providing adequate income support for the needy, especially the elderly, and high quality social services, while improving integration into the labour market, could help reduce poverty. Stronger local and regional institutions, better education and skills particularly in rural areas and a more flexible housing market could make regional development more balanced. Finally, strengthening the regulatory framework, reducing the scope of state-owned enterprises and moving towards a low-carbon economy will help raise productivity while ensuring resilient and sustainable growth.
SPECIAL FEATURES: REDUCING POVERTY; FOSTERING REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Also available in: French
Key policy insights
Lithuania has gone through a comparatively mild COVID-19 crisis so far. The number of victims remained low thanks to effective containment measures and a well-functioning health system. The lockdown was rather short and lenient. The economy dived less than in almost any other European country and seems to recover fast. Some sectors suffered more such as manufacturing and transport, given still weak export markets and the country’s role as a transport hub between Eastern and Western Europe. A surge of new infections and the reintroduction of travel restrictions since end-August dents the outlook further. Before the pandemic, the economy showed a strong performance and was rapidly converging towards the OECD upper half, driven by rapid export and investment growth supported by several key policy initiatives. With income prospects brightening up further, net migration turned positive for the first time since renewed independence (; ).
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