OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2023 Issue 1
A long unwinding road
Global economic developments have begun to improve, helped by lower energy prices, improving business and consumer sentiment, and the reopening of China. However, the OECD Economic Outlook highlights that the upturn is fragile and the recovery is set to remain weak by past standards, with the effects of tighter monetary policy increasingly being felt. The Outlook underlines a range of risks, including the possibility that inflation could prove more persistent than projected and that the impact of higher interest rates on financial markets and economic activity could be stronger than expected. Well-calibrated policy measures are required to unwind the impact of the recent sequence of negative shocks to the global economy, restore economic stability, and strengthen prospects for strong, inclusive and sustainable improvements in living standards.
This issue includes an assessment of the global economic situation, a chapter on promoting gender equality to strengthen economic growth and resilience and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.
Also available in: French
Japan
Real GDP is projected to grow by 1.3% in 2023 and 1.1% in 2024, mainly driven by domestic demand. Government support to help households cope with the energy price shock and increased defence spending will boost consumption and investment. Core inflation (excluding energy and food) will increase towards 2% as wage growth gains momentum and spreads to SMEs in 2024. The labour market will remain tight, with the unemployment rate edging down to 2.4% in 2024.
Also available in: French
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