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2022 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

Confronting the Crisis

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2

The global economy is facing mounting challenges amidst the largest energy market shock since the 1970s and the cost-of-living crisis for many households from rising inflation pressures. The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2022 Issue 2 highlights the unusually imbalanced and fragile outlook, the significant downside risks associated with energy market developments and rising financial vulnerabilities as interest rates are raised, and the associated policy challenges. Well-designed and timely policy actions are required to maintain economic stability, enhance energy security and strengthen the prospects for future growth.

This issue includes a general assessment of the macroeconomic situation, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country. Coverage is provided for all OECD members as well as for selected partner economies.

English Also available in: French

Deutschland

Die Wirtschaft wird den Projektionen zufolge 2022 um 1,8 % wachsen, 2023 um 0,3 % schrumpfen und 2024 wieder um 1,5 % zulegen. Die Unsicherheit ist angesichts der starken Volatilität der Energiepreise hoch. Die hohe Inflation schmälert die Realeinkommen und Ersparnisse, wodurch der private Konsum gedämpft wird. Das Exportwachstum dürfte sich trotz der rückläufigen Auslandsnachfrage im Jahresverlauf 2023 erholen, weil die Lieferkettenengpässe nachlassen und sich ein Auftragsbestand in Rekordhöhe angestaut hat. Wenn im Winter nicht genügend Energie eingespart wird, könnte eine Gasrationierung zu schweren Produktions-störungen führen.

German Also available in: English, French

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