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2018 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 2

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, a special chapter on the implications for public policy of the decoupling of wages from productivity and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country.

The Statistical Annex is available on-line only at https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/eco_outlook-v22018-2-en

 

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United States

Growth is projected to slow in the coming two years as macroeconomic policy becomes less supportive. While employment growth slows, consumption growth remains solid, supported by wage growth picking up as the labour market tightens further. Strong business investment in 2019 and 2020 is underpinned by the recent tax reform and supportive financial conditions. A weaker global outlook and already introduced trade measures weigh on activity.

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