2018 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2018 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, a special chapter on policy challenges from closer international trade and financial integration, and a chapter summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country and a statistical annex.


English Also available in: German, French



Economic growth is projected to remain strong but to slow somewhat in 2019 as capacity constraints bite. Real wage gains and employment increases will support private consumption, while investment will be stimulated by private firms and the disbursement of EU structural funds. Exports will benefit from robust external demand and new capacity expansion, although gains in market share will slow. Wage increases resulting from tighter labour market conditions will raise inflation, which is projected to exceed the central bank's 3% target in early 2019.

English Also available in: German, French



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