2013 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 2

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country and a statistical annex.

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GDP growth is projected to remain negative through 2014. Delays in bank resolution together with continuing fiscal consolidation and deleveraging by the over-indebted corporate sector will be a drag on demand. Domestic demand is expected to slowly pick up towards the end of 2015. Improving conditions in world markets will stimulate exports. Despite the recent rise in indirect taxes, inflation will remain subdued due to the large degree of slack. Indeed, unemployment is likely to rise further.

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