OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 2
The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country and a statistical annex.
Portugal
Against the background of on-going fiscal consolidation, the economy continued to contract in 2013. As global conditions improve and domestic demand recovers, growth should resume slowly, with marginally positive growth projected for 2014. Following recent improvements in the labour market, the unemployment rate is expected to continue a gradual decline throughout the forecasting horizon. As economic slack remains sizeable, inflation is set to remain very low. The current account has moved into surplus, reflecting in part improvements in competitiveness, but also very weak domestic demand.
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