OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 2
The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances. Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country and a statistical annex.
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Germany
Economic growth is projected to strengthen, supported by domestic demand. Real wage gains and low unemployment should sustain consumption growth while improving confidence in the euro area recovery and low interest rates are expected to boost investment spending. Exports will accelerate gradually as the recovery takes hold in the euro area and emerging market economies strengthen again. The current account surplus may shrink to 5½ per cent of GDP in 2015. The unemployment rate is projected to fall to 5% at the end of 2015, generating some inflation pressure.
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