2012 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country, a chapter on medium and long-term scenarios for growth and imbalances, and a and a statistical annex.

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The economy is projected to continue contracting throughout 2012, as budgetary consolidation and deleveraging in the private sector weigh on domestic demand. Expanding world trade and competitiveness gains will allow for stronger export growth. Real GDP is expected to fall by 1½ per cent in 2012 and then by a further ¾ per cent in 2013. The unemployment rate will rise above 25%. The budget deficit is projected to fall from 8.5% of GDP in 2011 to 3.3% in 2013.

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