2012 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country, a chapter on medium and long-term scenarios for growth and imbalances, and a and a statistical annex.

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Deep fiscal consolidation, bank deleveraging and weak external demand will leave the economy in recession until mid-2013, and the unemployment rate is set to rise to around 16%. As global conditions improve and exports accelerate, growth should resume. As the impact of indirect taxes hikes and more expensive oil wanes, inflation is expected to decrease markedly owing to the persistent slack. The current account deficit narrowed substantially in 2011, and will continue to shrink as economic adjustment continues.

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