2012 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2012 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country, a chapter on medium and long-term scenarios for growth and imbalances, and a and a statistical annex.

English French, German



The economy contracted sharply in 2011 due to strong fiscal retrenchment, severe economic dislocation and weak exports. Unemployment has risen rapidly, especially among the young. Output is set to decline further until the second half of 2013 when the pace of fiscal consolidation is expected to ease somewhat, wide-ranging structural reforms to boost competitiveness and promote investment start to bear fruit, and international demand strengthens. These projections assume that the EU/IMF programme of fiscal consolidation and structural reform is fully implemented.

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