2010 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook analyses the current economic situation and examines the economic policies required to foster a sustained recovery in member countries. This issue covers the outlook to end-2011 for both OECD countries and selected non-OECD economies. Together with a wide range of cross-country statistics, the Outlook provides a unique tool to keep abreast of world economic developments.

In addition to the themes featured regularly, this issue contains three special chapters. The first covers prospects for growth & imbalances beyond the short-term, the second covers return to work after the crisis, and the third examines counter cyclical economic policy.


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The recovery from the global crisis remains on track, thanks to a strong rebound in exports and fiscal stimulus that has supported household income in the face of falling employment and wages. Output growth is projected to reach 3% in 2010 on a year-average basis, but to slow somewhat in the second half of the year and average 2% in 2011. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate is likely to stay above 4½ per cent through 2011 and deflation will persist, as production remains below capacity.

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