2010 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook analyses the current economic situation and examines the economic policies required to foster a sustained recovery in member countries. This issue covers the outlook to end-2011 for both OECD countries and selected non-OECD economies. Together with a wide range of cross-country statistics, the Outlook provides a unique tool to keep abreast of world economic developments.

In addition to the themes featured regularly, this issue contains three special chapters. The first covers prospects for growth & imbalances beyond the short-term, the second covers return to work after the crisis, and the third examines counter cyclical economic policy.


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The recession in Italy, which had one of the largest peak-to-trough falls in output in the OECD area, ended in mid-2009. Although growth picked up to a 2% annual rate in the first quarter, the recovery is projected to proceed at a moderate pace for 2010 as a whole, strengthening a little in 2011. Government policy has helped to limit unemployment, which will nevertheless continue to rise slowly into 2011. Excess capacity will exert continuing downward pressure on inflation after a short-term increase due to resurgent energy prices.

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