OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 2
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Russian Federation
After an initial sharp rebound from the deep recession of the past year, real GDP is projected to converge on potential. The decline in inflation seen since early 2009 is expected to continue into 2010 before flattening out. The current account surplus will increase in 2010 as a result of terms of trade gains, but it will decline in 2011 as strong trend import growth reasserts itself. Net private capital flows should strengthen, allowing a rebuilding of reserves.
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