2009 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 2
This November 2009 issue of OECD's twice-yearly OECD Economic Outlook provides analysis of recent economic developments and economic projections for OECD and major non-OECD countries through the end of 2011. This issue contains a special chapter entitled “The automobile industry in and beyond the crisis”. It examines how closely the automobile and business cycles are related, how the automobile industry been affected by the crisis and what are the prospects for car sales.

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Real GDP is projected to fall by 14.4% this year, to broadly stabilise in 2010 and to recover in 2011, when growth of 3.9% is expected. This projection depends largely on developments in major export markets, on the speed with which resources are reallocated toward expanding export activities and on the country’s ability to attract renewed foreign direct investment inflows to the export sector as the recovery takes hold.

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