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2009 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 1

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2009 Issue 1
This June 2009 issue of OECD's twice-yearly OECD Economic Outlook provides analysis of recent economic developments and economic projections for OECD and major non-OECD countries through the end of 2010. Its comprehensive statistical annex is a useful reference tool for international economic comparisons. This issue finds that a recovery is in sight but that damage from the crisis is likely to be long-lasting.

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France

Real GDP is projected to fall by about 3% in 2009, with the pace of contraction gradually diminishing through the year. The recovery in 2010 is likely to be slow, with output growing below potential rates throughout the year. Still resilient private consumption and large automatic stabilisers are moderating the contraction in domestic demand, and France is less exposed to the collapse in world trade than some other countries. Both underlying and headline inflation could fall to near zero by end-2010.

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