OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2008 Issue 1
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New Zealand
Strong growth, booming commodity prices, tight labour markets and capacity constraints have driven up inflation recently, requiring a very tight monetary policy stance since mid-2007. Real exchange rate appreciation, tight credit and widening credit spreads, together with drought conditions, are provoking slower growth in 2008. A widening output gap should reduce inflation pressure by year-end, allowing monetary policy to be eased and growth to pick up in 2009.
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