OECD Economics Department Working Papers
Working papers from the Economics Department of the OECD that cover the full range of the Department’s work including the economic situation, policy analysis and projections; fiscal policy, public expenditure and taxation; and structural issues including ageing, growth and productivity, migration, environment, human capital, housing, trade and investment, labour markets, regulatory reform, competition, health, and other issues.
The views expressed in these papers are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the OECD or of the governments of its member countries.
- ISSN: 18151973 (online)
- https://doi.org/10.1787/18151973
Comparing the Robustness of PAYG Pension Schemes
This paper provides a framework for comparing a defined benefit (DB) and a defined contribution (DC)
point schemes, which are both pay-as-you go (PAYG) financed. Two stylised PAYG pension schemes are
modelled and simulated to compare their robustness to shocks. The same demographic developments
(distribution of workers by age and revenue and distribution of survival rate by age) are applied to the two
schemes. The impacts of different shocks (productivity, migration and longevity) on the two schemes are
compared. Different policy reforms (increasing the contribution rate, diminishing the pension benefit,
changing the up-rating and increasing the retirement age) to cope with the ageing shock are analysed and
compared.
Keywords: ageing, pension modelling, defined contribution, pension system, pension, sustainability, defined benefit
JEL:
J32: Labor and Demographic Economics / Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs / Nonwage Labor Costs and Benefits; Retirement Plans; Private Pensions;
H55: Public Economics / National Government Expenditures and Related Policies / Social Security and Public Pensions;
H75: Public Economics / State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations / State and Local Government: Health; Education; Welfare; Public Pensions;
C6: Mathematical and Quantitative Methods / Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
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