OECD Development Centre Working Papers
The OECD Development Centre links OECD members with developing and emerging economies and fosters debate and discussion to seek creative policy solutions to emerging global issues and development challenges. This series of working papers is intended to disseminate the OECD Development Centre’s research findings rapidly among specialists in the field concerned. These papers are generally available in the original English or French, with a summary in the other language.
- ISSN: 18151949 (online)
- https://doi.org/10.1787/18151949
The Renminbi and Poor-Country Growth
Discussions on how best to exit from global imbalances to create a more balanced world
economy have ignored the impact on poor countries of proposals to redress these imbalances.
This paper aims at filling that gap. It gauges the degree of renminbi (RMB) undervaluation;
presents evidence on RMB undervaluation and China’s GDP growth rate; surveys the role of the
real effective exchange rate – both its level and its stability over time – for underpinning growth
in developing countries, especially in large dual economies such as China and India; finally, the
paper presents new evidence on growth linkages between China and poor countries for the last
two decades and surveys literature on potential displacement effects of RMB appreciation. The
analysis allows broad conclusions to be drawn about the potential developing-country
beneficiaries and losers from various renminbi adjustment scenarios in the forthcoming years.
Keywords: purchasing power parity, real effective exchange rates, economic growth
JEL:
O11: Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth / Economic Development / Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development;
O47: Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth / Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity / Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence;
F15: International Economics / Trade / Economic Integration;
F31: International Economics / International Finance / Foreign Exchange
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